Forecasting Land Use Data and Future Transportation Corridors Using a Joint Travel Land Use Equilibrium Computer Model

Author: Saleem A. Salameh
Organization: KYOVA Interstate Planning Commission

1221 Sixth Avenue
Huntington, WV 25701
USA

Phone: 304-523-7434
Fax: 304-523-7229
ssalameh@citynet.net

Over the past two years, KYOVA has undertaken a land use data collection and transportation planning effort intended to provide base year land use data as well as future year land use forecasts and identification of potential future transportation corridors for the unincorporated areas of Cabell County. The base year data collection has consisted of
-Procuring United States Geological Survey (USGS) aerial photography
-Procuring United States Census Bureau TIGER mapping for roads, hydrology, governmental boundaries, and traffic analysis zones (TAZs)
-Procuring floodplain data from the Federal Emergency Management Agency
-Obtaining hard-copy tax mapping data from the tax assessor and performing a County-wide land use windshield survey
-Obtaining digitized tax mapping from the tax assessor and converting it into ArcView GIS shapefiles using the Esri ArcCAD software
-Developing a base year land use database from the windshield survey
-Integrating the survey data and the electronic tax mapping into a parcel-based land use ArcView GIS shapefile

At this point, the agency's existing QRS II-based model for the Huntington-Ironton urbanized area is being modified to allow for sketch planning capabilities in the nonurbanized areas to the Cabell County border. This is being accomplished by extending major highways from the existing model to the County border and adding traffic analyses that are intersected by these roadways. Ultimately, the HLMF 2+ software will be used to forecast land use for the unincorporated portions of the County at a TAZ level. Simultaneously, a qualitative survey of the land use opportunities based on current conditions, vacant land, topology, and existing programmed transportation facilities will be defined to identify transportation corridor needs. The HLMF will be assessed as part of the qualitative assessment, and land use and transportation corridor recommendations will be developed.