Abstract

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Paper
Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process to Create a Wildfire Model
Track: Modeling
Author(s): Peter Johnson, Gary Christopherson

Some of the most important questions in wildland fire modeling involve the inclusion or exclusion of anthropogenic factors. Wildfire modeling efforts in the past have focused on fire ignition, behavior, and spread characteristics with little, if any, effort made to include human values in wildfire prone environments. This lack of integration is due primarily to the difficulty in comparing wildfire variables with human landscape values. This research used the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) combined with a geographic information system to manage the integration of stakeholder opinion on spatially-based wildfire and landscape value data. AHP allowed stakeholders to make pairwise comparisons between competing variables and then calculated a weight for each. These weighted variables were used to produce a strategic decision support system for wildfire management that incorporated both social and natural science data.

Peter Johnson
University of Arizona
Center for Applied Spatial Analysis
Harvill Bldg., Box 3
Tucson, AZ , AZ 85721
US
Phone: 520-621-6181
E-mail: peter@casa.arizona.edu

Gary Christopherson
University of Arizona
Center for Applied Spatial Analysis
Harvill Bldg, Box 3
Room 460
Tucson 85716
US
Phone: 520-621-6267
E-mail: garych@casa.arizona.edu

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