Abstract

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Paper
Forecasting Future Population and Resource Demands Using GIS
Track: Water, Wastewater, and Stormwater
Author(s): Steve Rossi, Michael LaBianca, Ray Quay

The future isn't always what we plan for. This presentation will focus on how GIS was used to help the City of Phoenix develop a strategic water supply and water infrastructure master plan by examining the potential impacts of alternative land use scenarios on water supply and water infrastructure needs. The alternative land use scenarios that were modeled were developed based on hypothetical future headlines, like Valley Manufacturing Moves Overseas, Climate Changes Affect Tourism and In-Migration. For each headline, changes in economic, demographic and technological trends were identified and translated into land use impacts. GIS was used to develop growth, population, and employment scenarios for each alternative future from which water demand and the locations for the alternative water infrastructure could be projected. The presentation will include a discussion of how these land uses were modeled, the findings, and methodology for integration into the water models.

Steve Rossi
City of Phoenix
Water Resources
Phoenix City Hall
200 W. Washington St.
Phoenix, AZ , AZ 85003
US
Phone: 602-495-8669
E-mail: steve.rossi@phoenix.gov

Michael LaBianca
HDR
Planning
3200 E Camelback Road
Suite 350
Phoenix , AZ 85018
US
Phone: 6025227700
E-mail: michael.labianca@hdrinc.com

Ray Quay
City of Phoenix
Water Resources
200 W. Washington Street
Phoenix , AZ 85003
US
Phone: 602-495-5676
E-mail: ray.quay@phoenix.gov

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