Abstract

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Paper
Northern Prairie Wetlands and Climate Change
Track: Ecology and Conservation
Author(s): Bruce Millett, Richard Voldseth, W. Johnson

The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of North America contains millions of wetlands that provide abundant ecological services that are highly sensitive to climate change. We explored the broad spatial and temporal patterns across the PPR between climate and wetland water levels and vegetation by "moving" a wetland model (WETSIM) among 18 stations with 95-year weather records. A critical component to WETSIM was an accurate digital elevation model (DEM) for the wetland basin. Ecoregions were used as the spatial framework to select weather stations and to compare and contrast model outputs. Spatial analysis was performed on model outputs in ArcGIS. Simulations suggest that optimum wetland conditions would shift under a drier climate from the center of the PPR (Dakotas and southeastern Saskatchewan) to the wetter eastern and northern fringes, areas currently less productive or where most wetlands have been drained.

Bruce Millett
South Dakota State University
Geography
Box 504 SDSU Geography Dept.
Brookings , SD 57007
US
Phone: 605-688-4833
Fax: 605-688-4030
E-mail: bruce.millett@sdstate.edu

Richard Voldseth
USDA Forest Service
North Central Research Station Forest Sciences Labratory
1831 East Highway 169
Grand Rapids , MN 55744-3399
US
Phone: 218-326-7110
E-mail: rvoldseth@fs.fed.us

W. Johnson
South Dakota State University
Horticulture Forestry Landscape and Parks
NPB 201
Brookings , SD 57007
US
Phone: 605-688-4729
E-mail: Carter.Johnson@sdstate.edu