2004 UC Proceedings Abstract

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Rural Poverty in Mexico - The Spatial Dimension
Track: Sustainable Development and Humanitarian Affairs
Author(s): Dave Hodson

Using Mexico as a case study, CIMMYT researchers have applied small-area estimates to develop a better understanding of the extent and distribution of rural poverty. A regression model for household expenditure was developed using household survey data/GIS information used to predict monthly household expenditure in municipios throughout Mexico. Predicted expenditure was compared to official Mexican poverty lines, with an emphasis on the food poverty line. Results revealed widespread, non-uniform distribution of rural poverty, i.e., pockets of extreme rural poverty. Temporal aspects were investigated by applying the model to different time periods. Several independent lines of evidence supported model results. Environmental factor analysis indicated that erosion might be a key issue as high rainfall; sloping terrain and eroding soils were common features of poverty-prone regions. Indications were obtained of linkages between child malnutrition and rural poverty. The results are helping organizations like CIMMYT to target appropriate pro-poor technologies.

Dave Hodson
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT)
Apdo Postal 6-641
Mexico , DF CP 06600
MX
Phone: 52 55 5804 2004
E-mail: d.hodson@cgiar.org