Abstract
Spatial Regression Model of Urban Sprawl at Forest Interface Track: Forestry, Wildlife, and Fisheries Management Author(s): Maitreyi Mandal, Douglas Carter Landscape of Florida is undergoing a rapid transition mainly because of urbanization processes. This paper examines patterns of urban sprawl at the wildland urban interface of Alachua County in North Central Florida using a spatial econometric model (multinomial logit) with the application of GIS (Geostatistics) and remote sensing. A time series data of the last three decades has been analyzed using satellite and socioeconomic data to derive a spatial regression model of the urban sprawl at the interface. Results show that a closer distance to roads and cities, greater access to streams and rivers, income, forest type, and type of forest ownership are significant factors leading to urban sprawl and change of land use at the interface. This paper also examines the correlation of forest fire outbreak with sprawl and finally makes an economic impact assessment of this sprawl at the forest interface. Maitreyi Mandal University of Florida School of Forest Resources and Conservation 356 Newins Ziegler Hall Gainesville, FL 32601 US Phone: 352 871 0076 E-mail: maitreyi@ufl.edu Douglas Carter University of Florida School of Forest Resources & Conservation 357 Newins Ziegler Hall PO Box 110410 Gainesville, FL 32611-0410 US Phone: 3528460893 E-mail: drcart@ufl.edu |
|||||
