Abstract

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Situational Awareness in Iraq derived from Probability of Detection
Track: Defense and Intelligence
Author(s): Elizabeth Hayes

Situational Awareness is a military term that means knowing what's going on around you. MITRE Corporation is developing a GIS-based visualization representing a team's collective Situational Awareness of a local combat region for a hypothetical military unit in Iraq. Situational Awareness is distilled from human reporting, information in press sources obtained from data mining, and inputs from a variety of physical sensors. But Situational Awareness is an abstract concept that cannot be computed easily. We make use of a surrogate value, Probability of Detection, which is determined from target range, exposure time, and other parameters. We allow for the fact that detection opportunities are lost due to terrain and feature masking and that information value degrades over time due to target mobility.



We will display up-to-the-minute Situational Awareness for a region, like a weather map of a rapidly moving storm system. Only in our case, the weather is The Fog of War.

Elizabeth Hayes
MITRE Corporation
W-805
7525 Colshire Drive
McLean , VA 22102
US
Phone: 703-787-9559
E-mail: ehayes@mitre.org