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Paper
Modeling the South American Range of the Cerulean Warbler
Track: Ecology and Conservation
Author(s): Paul Hamel, Esra Ozdenerol, Paolo Ramoni-Perazzi, Kate Girvan, Andrea Ganzenmueller, Sebastian Herzog, David Mehlman, Francisco Cuesta, Maria Isabel Moreno, Sara Barker, Silvia Benitez, Jennifer Baldy, Melinda Welton, A. Hennessey, Paul Salaman, David Diaz, Olga Hernandez, Gabriel Colorado, Diego Cisneros-Heredia, Ian Davidson, Tom Will, Santiago Garcia, Esteban Guevara, David Romo, Tatiana Santander, Carolina Tovar Ingar, Milton Romero

Successful conservation of rare species requires detailed knowledge of the species' distribution. Modeling spatial distribution is an efficient means of locating potential habitats. Cerulean Warbler (Dendroica cerulea, Parulidae) was listed as a Vulnerable Species by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources in 2004. These neotropical migratory birds breed in eastern North America. The entire population migrates to the northern Andes in South America to spend the nonbreeding period. As part of a larger international conservation effort, we developed spatial hypotheses of the bird's occurrence in South America. We summarized physical, climatic, and recent land-cover data for the northern Andes using Esri software, ArcGIS. We developed five hypothetical distributions based on Mahalanobis D, GARP, BioCLIM, MAXENT, and Domain models. Combining results of the different models on the same map allowed us to design a rigorous strategy to ground-truth the map and thus to identify sites for protection of the species in South America.

Paul Hamel
USDA Forest Service
Southern Research Station
P.O. Box 227, 432 Stoneville Rd.
Stoneville , MS 38776
US
Phone: 662 686 3167
Fax: 6626863195
E-mail: phamel@fs.fed.us

Esra Ozdenerol
University of Memphis
Earth Sciences
236 Johnson Hall
488 Patterson St.
Memphis , TN 38152
US
Phone: 901 678 2787
E-mail: eozdenrl@memphis.edu

Paolo Ramoni-Perazzi
Universidad de Los Andes
Biologia
Facultad de Ciencias
Merida 5101
VE
Phone: 58 7 440 1304
E-mail: rpaolo@ula.ve

Kate Girvan
Norval Outdoor School
P.O. Box 226
Norval , Ontario L0P 1K0
CA
Phone: 905 877 2201
E-mail: kgirvan16@hotmail.com

Andrea Ganzenmueller
Ecociencia
Francisco Salazar E14-34 y Av. La Coruna
P.O. Box 17-12-257
Quito
EC
Phone: 593 2 231 624
E-mail: andrea_ganzenmueller@yahoo.com

Sebastian Herzog
Asociacion Armonia
Av. Lomas de Arena 400
Casilla 3566
Santa Cruz de la Sierra
BO
Phone: 591 3 356 8808
E-mail: skherzog@armonia-bo.org

David Mehlman
The Nature Conservancy
1303 Rio Grande Blvd NW
Suite 5
Albuquerque , NM 87104
US
Phone: 505-244-0535
E-mail: dmehlman@tnc.org

Francisco Cuesta
Ecociencia
Francisco Salazar E14-34 y Av. La Coruna
P.O. Box 17-12-257
Quito
EC
Phone: 593 2 231 624
E-mail: F.CuestaCamacho@student.uva.nl

Maria Isabel Moreno
Fundación ProAves
Carrera 20 No 36-61
Bogota , D.C.
CO
Phone: 57 1 340 3229
E-mail: mmoreno@proaves.org

Sara Barker
Cornell Laboratory of Ornithology
159 Sapsucker Woods Rd.
Ithaca , NY 14850
US
Phone: 607-254-2104
E-mail: sb65@cornell.edu

Silvia Benitez
The Nature Conservancy
Calle Los Naranjos N44-491 y Azucenas
Sector Monteserrin
Quito
EC
Phone: 593 2 257138
E-mail: sbenitez@tnc.org

Jennifer Baldy
University of Memphis
1228 Pallwood
Memphis , TN 38122
US
Phone: 901 678 2178
E-mail: jbulmansk@memphis.edu

Melinda Welton
Tennessee Ornithological Society
5241 Old Harding
Franklin , TN 37064
US
Phone: 615 799 8095
E-mail: weltonmj@earthlink.net

A. Hennessey
Asociacion Armonia
Av. Lomas de Arena 400
Casilla 3566
Santa Cruz de la Sierra
BO
Phone: 591 3 356 8808
E-mail: tangara@unete.com

Paul Salaman
American Bird Conservancy
4249 Loudoun Ave.
P.O. Box 249
The Plains , VA 20198
US
Phone: 540 253 5780
E-mail: psalaman@abcbirds.org

David Diaz
Birdlife International
Vicente Cardenas E5-75 y Japon, 3er Piso, C.P.
P.O. Box 17-17-717
Quito -
EC
Phone: 593 2 245 3645
E-mail: david.diaz@birdlife.org.ec

Olga Hernandez
WWF-Colombia
Carrera 35 ##4A-25 San Fernando
Cali - Valle
CO
Phone: 57 2 558 2577
E-mail: olhernandez@wwf.org.co

Gabriel Colorado
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Calle 52B ## 80-35, Apt. 402
Medellin -
CO
Phone: 57 4 234 5035
E-mail: gjcolora@epm.net.co

Diego Cisneros-Heredia
Aves&Conservacion (Corporacion Ornitologica del Ecuador) / Universidad San Francisco de Quito
Pasaje Joaquin Tinajero E3-5 y Calle Jorge Drom
Casilla Postal 17-17-906
Quito
EC
Phone: 593 2 227 1800
E-mail: diegofrancisco_cisneros@yahoo.com

Ian Davidson
BirdLife International
Vicente Cardenas E5-75 y Japon, 3er Piso, C.P.
P.O. Box 17-17-717
Quito -
EC
Phone: 593 2 245 3645
E-mail: ian.davidson@birdlife.org.ec

Tom Will
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
Division of Migratory Birds
1 Federal Drive - 6th floor
Fort Snelling , MN 55111-4056
US
Phone: 612 713 5362
E-mail: tom_will@fws.gov

Santiago Garcia
Birdlife International
Vicente Cardenas E5-75 y Japon, 3er Piso, C.P.
P.O. Box 17-17-717
Quito
EC
Phone: 593 2 245 3645
E-mail: birdlife@birdlife.org.ec

Esteban Guevara
Aves&Conservacion
Pasaje Joaquin Tinajero E3-5 y Calle Jorge Drom
Casilla Postal 17-17-906
Quito
EC
Phone: 593 2 227 1800
E-mail: avesyconservacion@uio.satnet.net

David Romo
Universidad San Francisco de Quito
Campus Cumbaya-Diego de Robles y Via Interoceanica
P.O.Box 1200 841
Quito
EC
Phone: (593)-2-297-170
E-mail: david@usfq.edu.ec

Tatiana Santander
Aves&Conservacion
Pasaje Joaquin Tinajero E3-5 y Calle Jorge Drom
Casilla Postal 17-17-906
Quito
EC
Phone: 593 2 227 1800
E-mail: avesyconservacion@uio.satnet.net

Carolina Tovar Ingar
Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina
Centro de Datos para la Conservacion
Av. La Universidad s/n La Molina
Lima
PE
Phone: (51) 1-3496102
E-mail: ctovar@lamolina.edu.pe

Milton Romero
Instituto Humboldt
Calle 146A No. 40A - 18 Apt. 702
Bogota
CO
Phone: (57) 1-608-6900
E-mail: mhromero@humboldt.org.co