Abstract Lake and Golf Residential Deterministic Model for the Oconee Watershed Track: Environmental Management Author(s): Matias Nardi, Stephen Sperry, Todd Davis Lake gentrification is a major issue confronting planning. With the boomers aging, there is pressure on water resources by retirement homes. In South Carolina, Lakes Jocassee, Keowee and Hartwell, are experiencing these issues. This paper demonstrates the development of a deterministic model to find the most suitable lake and golf areas for development in the Seneca Creek Watershed. The study framework follows Carl Steinitz's Alternative Futures for Changing Landscapes. The model explores the criteria underlying land use location for high-end property in a fragile environmental region through a deterministic approach in which a set of criteria combine to produce a mapped index of priority based on different selected variables by the researcher and not randomly as in a probabilistic model. The display of the deterministic variables through tables, combined with the mapping capacity of ArcGIS, allow the region's stakeholders to assess the impact of future development decisions in the watershed. Matias Nardi Clemson University 262 Barre Hall Applied Economics and Statistics Clemson , South Carolina 29634 United States Phone: (864) 650 3282 Fax: (864) 656 5776 E-mail: mnardi@clemson.edu Stephen Sperry Clemson University 121 Lee Hall Box 340511 Department of Planning and Landscape Architecture Clemson , South Carolina 29634-0511 United States Phone: (864) 656-3536 E-mail: sperrys@clemson.edu Todd Davis Clemson University 285 Barre Hall Department of Applied Economics and Statistics Clemson , South Carolina 29631 United States Phone: (864) 656-5777 E-mail: tddavis@clemson.edu |