Abstract

Income Indicators Based on Electricity Consumption: A Geostatistical Approach
Track: Electric and Gas
Author(s): Eduardo Francisco, Francisco Aranha, Peter Whigham, Tony Moore, Felipe Zambaldi, Rafael Goldszmidt

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the spatial relationship between electricity consumption and household income, in order to create an income indicator based on electricity consumption, at the territorial aggregate level, using a set of income-predicting regressions: traditional, GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) and SAR (Spatial Auto-Regressive) models. GIS techniques were applied to integrate electricity consumption information of all residential customers (points) of AES Eletropaulo, one of the largest Brazilian power distributors, with Demographic Census Data (polygons).

A set of GIS and Spatial Statistical tools were utilized: ArcGIS Spatial Analyst and Geostatistical Analyst, R statistical application (SPGWR and SPDEP packages), GWR3X and GeoDA (a MapObjects geostatistical application).

As an important result, electricity consumption (at the territorial aggregate level) is recognized as an efficient proxy for purchasing power, and can be almost automatically generated by electric companies using GIS techniques - it's a potential new business for them.

Eduardo Francisco
AES Eletropaulo
R Apotribu 150 - ap 172J
Parque Imperial
Sao Paulo , SP 04302-000
Brazil
Phone: +55-11-5584-8812
E-mail: eduardo.francisco@aes.com

Francisco Aranha
Fundação Getulio Vargas - EAESP
Av. Nove de Julho, 2029 - Prédio da Biblioteca
2o. Andar
Sao Paulo , SP 01313-902
Brazil
Phone: +55-11-3281-7897
Fax: +55-11-3281-7871
E-mail: chico.aranha@gmail.com

Peter Whigham
Dept. Information Science - University of Otago
PO Box 56
Dunedin , Otago 9001
New Zealand
Phone: +64-3-479-7391
Fax: +64-3-479-8311
E-mail: pwhigham@infoscience.otago.ac.nz

Tony Moore
Dept. Information Science - University of Otago
PO Box 56
Dunedin , Otago 9001
New Zealand
Phone: +64-3-479-7391
Fax: +64-3-479-8311
E-mail: amoore@infoscience.otago.ac.nz

Felipe Zambaldi
Fundação Getulio Vargas
Rua José Ramon Urtiza, 965 - apto 51
Sao Paulo , SP 01313-902
Brazil
Phone: +55-11-3281-7897
Fax: +55-11-3281-7871
E-mail: zambaldi@yahoo.com

Rafael Goldszmidt
Fundação Getulio Vargas - EAESP
Av. Nove de Julho, 2029 - Prédio da Biblioteca
2o. Andar
Sao Paulo , SP 01313-902
Brazil
Phone: +55-11-3281-7897
Fax: +55-11-3281-7871
E-mail: rafael.goldszmidt@gmail.com