Abstract

DYNAMIC ENVIRONMENTAL FORECASTING MODEL IN GIS, BEYKOZ CASE STUDIES
Track: Forestry
Authors: Aylin Celik Turan, Asli Donertas, Seher Baslik, ezgi tok

The forests in north of Istanbul are under big pressure with rapid and uncontrolled urbanization. Considerable developments in geographical information systems and remote sensing technologies have now offering important opportunities to our perception and understanding of environmental systems in its entirety of elements as well as to the modeling of relations among them.

In this paper, natural phenomena of two case study area are evaluated, forecasted and discussed by environmental models as a versatile, creative and in a way lost and rediscovered method and the subject matter is analyzed through the use of "agent based models, "cellular automata, "artificial neural networks and "statistical modeling which are particularly offering new visions and paradigms.

Environment model acquires dynamic structure with integration of spatial-temporal data. Therefore, damage of forests in the Sariyer and Beykoz are evaluated in a temporal duration within this framework by use of data between 1960 and 2009.