Abstract

Modeling urban growth and hazard scenarios in Montego Bay, Jamaica
Track: Geodesign
Authors: Barry Fradkin, Juan Carlos Vargas

Urban growth and natural hazard scenarios were developed for Montego Bay, Jamaica to project urban footprint expansion through the year 2030. We evaluated patterns of residential growth and hazard vulnerability, using Spatial Analyst and ModelBuilder, in order to compare different urban policies. Ultimately, we identified economic and social benefits linked to a compact development scenario. This study helped inform planning and investment decisions that encourage smart growth and resilience.