Using Geographic Information Systems to Map the Strategic Value of Chesapeake Bay Farmland: Methodology Concept of Operations

April, 1997

Abstract

The disappearance and conversion of farmland to built-up landcover types in the Chesapeake Bay area has proceeded at an aggressive rate over the past several decades. Forecasts for farmland loss are no less optimistic. Current county land use plans for the metropolitan Washington DC area forecast a loss of 309,000 acres of open lands from 1990 to 2020.

Public and private efforts to manage farmland conversion will benefit from GIS databases and maps depicting the location and extent of farmlands with high potential for controlling conversion and preserving farm landscapes. The Chesapeake Bay Foundation and the American Farmland Trust, representing the Chesapeake Farms for the Future Board, contracted with Earth Satellite Corporation(EarthSat) to develop GIS databases and a hardcopy map series as strategic tools for farmland protection and farmland conversion management for the Chesapeake Bay watershed. The purpose of this paper is to describe the technical and modeling aspects of strategic farmland mapping for the Chesapeake Bay.

EarthSat has used ArcInfo to develop multicriteria GIS databases and maps depicting the significance of Chesapeake Bay farmlands. County and statewide hardcopy maps and GIS databases representing the pattern of Maryland farmland protection, development pressure on farmland, farmland significance from a soils and nonsoils productivity perspective, farmland nonagricultural significance, and farmland water quality impact indicators have been produced. Descriptive statistics for each geographic theme were also synthesized. The map themes and spatial databases will serve as decision support tools for farmland protection management.

Data from low cost multiple sources and scales were compiled and rasterized as inputs for multicriteria modeling of farmland significance. ArcInfo GRID was applied to model farmland protection, development pressure, farmland soil and nonsoil productivity, farmland cultural, environmental and historic significance, and farmland water quality impact indicators. These models will serve as inputs to a strategic farmland model which represents farmlands of high potential value as protected farmland in controlling the conversion of farmland to developed landcover.

Data compilation management was conducted through UNIX ArcInfo, while map conversion was conducted through ARCEDIT. Raster model processing and statistical analysis was conducted through GRID. ARCPLOT was employed to generate statewide and county-level hardcopy map series. Additional statistical analysis was conducted with Microsoft Excel.


Table of Contents

Abstract

Table of Contents

1.0 Introduction

2.0 Definition of Study Areas and Enumeration Units

2.1 Proposed Map Themes

3.0 Data Collection

3.1 Spatial Data Sources
3.2 Additional Potential Sources of Spatial Data

4.0 Data Manipulation and Preprocessing

4.1 County-Level Map Database Preprocessing
4.2 State-Level Map Database Preprocessing

5.0 Data Analysis

5.1 Analysis Procedures for Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection Map

5.2 Analysis Procedures for Projected Development Pressure on Farmland Map

5.3 Analysis Procedures for FarmlandAgricultural Significance
5.4 Analysis Procedures for Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features (Environmental, Cultural, Historic)
5.5 Analysis Procedures for Projected Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase Map
6.0 Quantitative Output Analysis Products
6.1 Acreage Summary Tables Samples
6.2 Acreage Summary Graphs

7.0 Conclusions

Acknowledgments

Appendixes

End Notes

References

Author Information


1.0 Introduction

Farmland conversion to developed and urbanized landcover within the Chesapeake Bay is of great concern. In the 1980s, the metropolitan Washington, DC region lost 211,062 acres of farmland, barren land, forests, and wetlands. This represented a seven percent decrease in the region's available open spaces. This loss is equivalent to approximately five times the area of the District of Columbia.

Forecasts show little sign that pressure to convert farmland and other open spaces to built-up landcover is receding. Between 1990 and 2020, the metropolitan Washington region is forecasted to lose 10,300 acres of open space a year. This is an additional loss of eight percent of all open space that existed in 1990. Current county land use plans for the Washington area forecast a loss of 309,000 acres of open lands from 1990 to 2020.

Forecasted loss of open space including farmlands is especially intense in the rural counties of the Metropolitan Washington area. In Maryland, between 1990 and 2020, Howard, Frederick, Calvert, and Charles counties, historically rural farming counties, are forecast to lose 144,670 acres of open space. This loss is equivalent to approximately 13 acres of open space per day. Within the metropolitan area, the historically rural farming counties of Virginia also anticipate open space loss. Loudoun, Prince William, and Faquier counties are forecast to lose 86,583 acres of open space from 1990 to 2020.

By 2020, thirty-six percent of all metropolitan Washington lands will be built-up, up from twenty eight percent of all lands in 1990. Forecast conversion of open spaces including farmlands averages to twenty eight acres per day. (1)

Planners and policymakers are confronted with a myriad of questions when planning for farmland protection against conversion. A tool for identifying location, extent, and intensity of the economic, cultural and environmental character of farm landscapes is critical to farmland protection planning.

The Farms for the Future Board, through The Chesapeake Bay Foundation and the American Farmland Trust contacted with Earth Satellite Corporation to develop a concept of operations Document for mapping the environmental and economic significance of farmland within the Chesapeake Bay.

The concept of operations was developed in coordination with the Farms for the Future Board and Earth Satellite Corporation with a number of goals and objectives. One goal of the document is elaborate on the feasibility of applying Geographic Information Systems (GIS) technology as a tool for farmland protection planning. Additional goals include identifying spatial data sources and limitations, and the costs of the application of those data for farmland significance mapping. The concept of operation also proposes example thematic maps showing farmland significance using currently available data and discusses the advantages and disadvantages of their development methodology.



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2.0 Definition of Study Areas and Enumeration Units

The Farms for the Future Board determined to investigate farmland significance in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. For the purposes of the concept of operations document, the study area was limited to all of the State of Maryland. Representative sample maps for farmland significance themes were generated at the county and state levels. The Maryland Statewide map series was produced at a scale of 1:250,000 (1 cm on the map = 2.5 km ground distance, or 1 inch = ~ 3.94 miles). This scale permits production of Maryland Statewide maps not exceeding 40 inches in height.

Frederick County, Maryland was chosen as a representative county-level map for a number of reasons. In general, spatial data availability was good for Frederick County. While Frederick County has the largest physical land area in the state of Maryland, Frederick also possesses a diverse landcover landscape. Frederick County exhibits strong population growth and farmland productivity, making it a suitable study area especially for investigating the relationship of development pressure on farmland productivity. Frederick County maps are produced at a scale of 1:65,000 (1 cm = 650 meters, or 1 inch = ~1.02 miles). This scale is appropriate for generating county-level maps in a format not exceeding 40 inches in any one dimension (vertical or horizontal).

All maps produced are projected in to the Maryland State Plane Coordinate System, based on the North American Datum of 1983 and the GRS 1980 Spheroid. Metric-system measurements and distance calculations are facilitated using this meter-based system. The projection system was chosen to minimize positional error for county-and statewide maps for Maryland. Delaware county and State-level maps will also be presented in the Maryland State Plane Coordinate System, in anticipation of minimal positional error under the system.

Representative sample descriptive acreage statistics for the relevant themes were generated for the Chesapeake Bay Watershed portions of Maryland for the State of Maryland, for Maryland Regions, and at the County level.

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2.1 Proposed Map Themes

A number of map themes are required to appropriately address critical decision making questions for farmland protection planning. A central goal of the project is to generate maps which identify the longevity or viability of farmland. The maps should all contribute to clarifying a concept for mapping out the strategic value of farmland within the Chesapeake Bay Watershed as a tool for protection planning.

The map themes produced should all identify the basic spatial distribution and nature of existing farmland protection (at both the state and county level), land use, land use zoning, and public ownership within the Chesapeake Bay. Consequently, all of these themes are represented on each of the maps produced for this concept of operations.

Development pressure on farmland was chosen as a map theme for the purpose of identifying the distribution and pattern of population-driven development on farmlands. The intensity and spatial pattern of development pressure is an effective indicator of the threat of farmland conversion to built-up cover types and is employed as a decision making tool central to farmland protection planning.

Protection planners also need a means of assessing the value of farmlands in order to implement protections of productive farmlands. This concept of operations proposes an evaluation of farmland value in terms of both agriculture-based significance and non-agriculture based significance.

The distribution and pattern of farmland significance based on agricultural features have been identified through two map themes in this project. The first map theme, "farmland with significant agricultural features, based on soil productivity" identifies farmland significance in terms of its soil-based productivity. Soil agricultural yield and its relationship with soil suitability for agricultural use is the central map feature for this theme. The second map theme, "farmland with significant agricultural features, based on non-soil productivity" identifies farmland significance in terms of non-soil based factors. The theme focuses on farmland value in terms of the value of agricultural products sold.

Farmland significance based on non-agricultural features is also represented. A map that assesses the environmental, cultural and historic significance of farmlands is presented as a tool for evaluating farmland significance from a social perspective.

The impact of development pressure on water quality on barmland was also selected as a central issue for farmland planning protection. Projections for land surface imperviousness increase were modeled and mapped as an indicator of potential threats to farmland water quality.

The map themes presented for this concept of operations are :

The methodology employed for each of the map themes is discussed in Section 5.0, Data Analysis.

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3.0 Data Collection

The sources for spatial data used, the potential sources for data not used because of current unavailability, and the fitness for use of spatial data for this concept of operations document are discussed in this section.

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3.1 Spatial Data Sources

A myriad of public and private organizations have been identified as sources for spatially referenced data for this concept of operations document. EarthSat placed an emphasis on identifying lower-cost or no-cost sources of data, especially in the public domain as a cost controlling mechanism. As a general guideline, sources for data already in digital format for ready import to GIS were sought out. Additional sources for non-electronic geographic information were also identified.

The major sources of geographic information for the concept of operations hailed from the Maryland State Government and United States Federal Government.

The Maryland Office of Planning (MOP) was a key source of electronic geographic information. The Organization provided no-cost information for landuse, zoning, sewer service areas, soil agricultural suitability, zoning density requirements, statistical enumeration units, population increase forecast information, and coordinated the collection of hardcopy maps for county-level farmland protection. This information was provided Maryland Statewide for the project.

The Maryland Department of Natural Resources (DNR) also served as a primary source of no-cost electronic geographic information. DNR provided the project with Maryland statewide GIS databases for state agriculture easements, preservation districts, Maryland Environmental Trust Easements (METs), private protected lands, federally owned lands, county parks and DNR-owned lands. Moreover, DNR provided the project with the Maryland statewide National Wetlands Inventory (NWI) wetlands database, along with statewide flood plain data.

The federal sources of geographic information used include the United States Bureau of the Census, the United States Geological Survey, the United States Department of Agriculture, and the United States Environmental Protection Agency.

The US Bureau of the Census provided the project with low-cost (<$200) electronic format attribute information for the entire US National Census of agriculture 1992 (the most current Maryland statewide census of agriculture available). This information included complete census data tables at the national, regional, state, county, and other census level enumeration units. Census farm count information at the ZIP code level for the entire US was also provided.

The US Census TIGER/LINE geographic information database served as a significant low-cost source for basemap information. Spatial data for state, county, and ZIP code boundaries, placenames and landmarks, interstates, highways, streets and roads, and rivers and streams were extracted from US Census TIGER/LINE.

The United States Geological Survey (USGS) also served as a no-cost source for a wide assortment of electronic spatial data. US national hydrological units for defining the Chesapeake Bay Watershed, along with digital elevation models and ancillary wetland landcover were obtained from the USGS at no cost over the internet.

The National Soil Survey Center of the Soil Conservation Service in the United States Department of Agriculture was an additional no-cost source of electronic spatial data. The organization's State Soil Geographic (STATSGO) Data Base was a no-cost consistent source of electronic format soil yield information for the entire US.

The United States Environmental Protection Agency provided the project with a no-cost Chesapeake Bay shoreline map database.

The University of Maryland at Baltimore County and the Baltimore-Washington Regional Collaboratory provided no-cost multi temporal landcover data used in modeling development pressure and locating zones of conflict that identify areas of potential farmland conversion.

The Delaware Department of Agriculture, along with Thompson Mapping provided low-cost CAD format spatial data for Delaware agriculture land suitability, environmental features, and wastewater service areas. The planning offices for Kent, Newcastle, and Sussex Counties, Delaware each provided spatial data or sources for spatial data for county-level zoning information. The Delaware Department of Economic Development also provided zoning spatial data. The Delaware Department of Health and Social Sciences provided consistent Delaware statewide population and household increase forecasts. Maps for Delaware were not produced for this concept of operations document.

Statewide placenames information was derived from Environmental Systems Research Institute's (Esri) 1:2,000,000 ARC/USA spatial database.

County-level farmland protection in the form of Transfer of Development Rights (TDRs) and Purchase of Development Rights (PDRs) areas for Maryland was converted from county paper maps by EarthSat technicians. The Maryland Office of Planning coordinated with EarthSat in collection of the county protection maps.

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3.2 Additional Potential Sources of Spatial Data

A number of additional sources were contacted through the course of the project to assess electronic format data availability. Some sources which were in the process of producing or updating geographic information could not distribute spatial data for this concept of operations document until processing was completed. A number of databases with significant relevance and useful application to the concept of operations were undergoing conversion from analog format or were being updated or revised.

The Emergency Operations & Technical Support Program of the Maryland Department of the Environment is in the process of converting analog farm operations information to digital format to produce a Maryland Statewide map database of agricultural operations, food processing plants, and wholesale/food distribution. This information would serve to enhance the Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection maps.

The Wildlife and Heritage Department of the Maryland Department of Natural Resources is also in the process of updating their Sensitive Species Project Review Areas (SSPRA) map database for inclusion in a forthcoming Maryland data toolbox. The Maryland Historic Trust's Maryland Inventory of Historic Properties, National Register of Historic Places, and National Historic Landmarks databases are not completely converted to electronic format. Maryland scenic viewsheds, valuable in assessing the cultural value of farmland, are currently being revised by the US Federal Scenic Highway Program, the Maryland State Highways Administration, and the Maryland State Scenic Byways Committee. Each of these databases would serve to expand the depth and scope of the Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features maps.

The Projected Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase maps would benefit from the Maryland DNR revised statewide watershed water quality database. The database is currently undergoing revision.

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4.0 Data Manipulation and Preprocessing

All spatial databases used in the project were projected to a common coordinate system using Environmental Research Systems Inc.'s (Esri) ArcInfo Geographic Information System software. ARC INFO was the primary preprocessing, data analysis and cartographic software for the project. All spatial data employed were converted to ArcInfo format (raster or vector, as appropriate). The coordinate system used for the project is described in the following table :

Table 1. Projection Parameters Used

Projection Parameter Description
Projection: Stateplane The projection system.
FIPSZONE : 1900 Federal Information Processing Standard State Plane Zone Number. 1900 is Maryland Stateplane
Units : Meters The basic unit of distance measurement in which coordinate

information is stored. All map databases were stored in meters.

Datum : NAD83 The base reference system and control points for the projection system. The North American Datum of 1983 was used.
Spheroid : GRS80 The model employed approximating the shape of the earth's surface. The GRS 1980 spheroid was used


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4.1 County-Level Map Database Preprocessing

Beyond projection, basic preprocessing steps for data preparation for the county-level series of maps included checking for completeness and schema consistency and conversion of vector databases to raster structures. Consistency of attributes of each database were checked through visual inspection of values on a map display and through generation of frequency table listings of all possible attribute values within a vector coverage. Any apparent attribute errors were corrected. Standardized attribute codes were added to vector attribute tables to maintain consistency for each database.

Vector data to be used for modeling were converted to GRIDs (raster images) organized into cells 100 meters on a side, or 10,000 square meters (1 hectare, 2.47 acres, or 107,639 square feet) in area. The conversion used the standardized codes created in each the vector database for grid cell value assignment. Databases converted from vector to raster structures are identified under Section 5.0 Data Analysis. The result was a set of GRIDS for the Frederick County study area each with 556 rows and 493 columns for a total of 274,108 cells. Conversion of the vector database to 10,000 meter square cells produced a database spatial resolution of sufficient generalization for 1:65,000 scale mapping. At a scale of 1:65,000, one cell, 100 m on a side is approximately 1.53 mm in length on the map. Consequently, the spatial data produced for the county map series should be used only at map scales of 1:65,000 or smaller.

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4.2 State-Level Map Database Preprocessing

Preprocessing steps for data preparation for the statewide series of maps consisted of map projection, as mentioned earlier, followed by completeness and schema consistency checks and subsequent conversion to GRID structures. Attributes for all of the county vector databases were checked and corrected using the same method discussed above for county data.

Following the consistency checks and correction, each county database used in the analysis was rasterized to a cell size of 250 meters on a side, or 62,500 square meters (6.25 hectares, 15.44 acres, or 672,744 square feet) in area. The Maryland statewide study area is a lattice of 824 rows by 1,560 columns totaling 1,285,440 cells. The rasterization step was important for the purpose of merging the multiple databases to a common spatial resolution and for generalizing the spatial information to a scale suitable for statewide mapping. A single 250 m cell on the Maryland Statewide map series at 1:250,000 scale is represented as 1 mm in length. Data produced for the Maryland statewide series should be used at map scales of 1:250,000 or larger only. Section 5.0, Data Analysis lists the individual vector databases converted to raster format.

Since most of the Maryland data collected were organized at the county level, the statewide series also included the additional step of interpolating landuse information where gaps between county databases existed. When all county landuse vector databases were rasterized and merged to form a full Maryland statewide landuse scene, small gaps of missing data between some counties resulted. ArcInfo GRID was used to apply a majority filtering function to interpolate for missing data. The filter converted gaps in the raster landcover data to the landcover class found to be in the majority in the "neighborhood" or area immediately surrounding the missing data gap. Fewer than 100 cells (or 1,544 acres in area) total were interpolated for the full Maryland scene.

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5.0 Data Analysis

The process of developing the methods may be considered one of evolution in the sense that at the project outset, complex models were applied for many themes which evolved into cleaner, simple models most suitable to meet the project goals.

EarthSat first coordinated with the Farms for the Future Board to produce a mapping method for the county level map series. In general terms, once the concepts for the county-scale maps were well understood, and a complete county series was generated, the county-level methods were applied to produce statewide-level map series. For the statewide series, county-level information was first pre-processed for the purpose of map joining, as discussed above, and then merged into full statewide databases. Modeling techniques were then applied to the full statewide databases.

This section discusses the methodologies for generating spatial data and hardcopy maps for each map theme.

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5.1 Analysis Procedures for Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection Map

5.1.1 Frederick County

The county level Landuse, Zoning and Farmland Protection Map is designed to provide a basic spatial context for landcover, zoning, ownership, and farmland protection for county-level assessment. While the information found on the protection maps could be considered "basemap" or "background" information, they provide a fundamental context for defining the spatial character of farmland protection. The features found on the protection map will typically be found on all other map themes. The design approach to the map is cartographic overlay of multiple information layers.

Landuse is represented as the bottommost layer (see Image 1, Detail, Frederick County Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection). Generalized landuse information for each county for 1995 was provided by the Maryland Office of Planning. Landuse types represented are built-up/developed, agricultural landuse, forested landuse, other landuse, water, and wetlands.

State and county farmland protection are depicted on the Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection Map. State protections portrayed are Maryland State Agriculture Easements, Maryland State Agriculture Preservation Districts, and Maryland State Environmental Trust Easements (METs). County farmland protection in the form of Transfer of Development Rights (Sending) areas (TDRs) and Purchase of Development Rights areas (PDRs) are also portrayed. In addition, the map shows privately held conservation areas.

To simplify information, and to avoid concealing existing landuse with opaque polygons, the farmland protection features are symbolized with open black border polygons. Agriculture Easements are symbolized as an open black boundary polygon with a text label "Ag E." Maryland Agriculture Preservation Districts and Maryland State Environmental Trust Easements are portrayed with "Ag D" and "MET" labels respectively. Likewise, TDRs and PDRs are represented on the county Farmland Protection Map as an open polygon with a text labels "TDR" or "PDR" respectively. Privately-owned conservation areas are labeled "Prv." State protection and private conservation areas were provided by the Maryland Department of Natural Resources. County protection was provided by county governments, coordinated through the Maryland Office of Planning, and converted by EarthSat digitizing services. (2)

Image 1, Detail, Frederick County Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection

Image 1, Detail, Frederick County Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection

Publicly owned lands are also included on the Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection Map. Federal and Maryland DNR-owned lands, along with county parks were combined and portrayed as open thick black boundary polygons. (3)

Basemap reference information is also shown on the Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection Map. Placenames, streams, major arterials, and county boundaries serve to provide a basic hydrological, infrastructure, and jurisdiction context to the map series. Major arterials, which consist of interstates, US and State Highways, and major county roads, were provided by the Maryland Office of Planning. MOP also provided county boundary information. Streams and landmark and places placenames were extracted from the US Bureau of Census TIGER/LINE 1992 GIS database. (4)

The Frederick County Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection Map, like all maps in the concept of operations document, were produced using ArcInfo ARCPLOT software for UNIX.

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5.1.2 Maryland Statewide

The objectives for the Maryland Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection Map are the same as at the county level, at a larger geographic extent. (See Image 2, Detail, Maryland Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection.) To maintain map readability at a smaller map scale, a sequence of feature selection and generalization took place for landuse, zoning, protection, public lands and streams.

Image 2, Detail, Maryland Landuse, Zoning and Farmland Protection

Image 2, Detail, Maryland Landuse, Zoning and Farmland Protection

As discussed in Section 4 Data Manipulation and Preprocessing, Landuse was generalized to a minimum mapping unit of 62,500 square meters (6.25 hectares, 15.44 acres, or 672,744 square feet). This technique eliminates landuse polygons smaller than 62,500 square meters, and replaces them with the majority landcover within a given 6.25 hectare area. This was conducted to avoid unnecessary map complexity, and to merge county level databases into a single statewide database. Landuse vector databases for each county were rasterized at 250 meter cell size and subsequently merged to a full Maryland statewide landuse GRID database (MD_LU_GRD). A majority filter function was passed over the grid to eliminate nodata gaps between counties. The resulting GRID database was converted to a polygon database (MD_LU) for cartographic display. The same six landuse classes are symbolized : built-up/developed, agricultural landuse, forested landuse, other landuse, water, and wetlands.

Maryland statewide farmland protection in the form of state easements, county TDRs and PDRs and private conservation areas were generalized into point or dot symbols representing the centroid of the protected area. The centroid of each protection for each county was identified and stored as a point ArcInfo coverage. Maryland Agricultural Easements are shown as red dots. Maryland Agriculture Preservation Districts are shown as orange dots and Maryland Environmental Trust areas are yellow dots. TDRs and PDRs are blue and purple dots, respectively. Privately-owned protected lands smaller than 6,250,000 square meters (625 hectares, or 1,544 acres) are green dots. Privately-owned protected lands larger than 6,250,000 square meters are represented as open green border polygons. (5)

County zoning density requirements for agricultural lands are also portrayed on the statewide map. The zoning density requirements, which are the number of acres of land required per household unit in agriculturally zoned areas, are categorized into low, medium and high agriculture zoning protection and are represented in green, yellow, and red diagonal hatch marks respectively. Low zoning protection requires less than 10 acres per unit density. Moderate zoning protection requires 10 to less than 20 acres per unit density. High zoning protection requires more than 20 acres per unit density. Zoning density was stored as a grid, and merged with a zoning grid to extract only those areas zoned for agriculture. The density requirements are represented on the map only on areas zoned for agricultural landuse. (6)

Each Maryland county was assigned a single agricultural zoning density requirement as indicated in the following table provided by the Maryland Office of Planning :

Table 2. Average Maryland County Agricultural Zoning Density Requirements (7)

County Agricultural Zoning Density (Units/Acre)
Allegany 1/25
Anne Arundel 1/20
Baltimore County 1/50
Calvert 1/5
Caroline 1/20
Carroll 1/20
Cecil 1/6
Charles 1/3
Dorchester 1/1
Frederick 1/25
Garrett 1/25
Harford 1/10
Howard 1/4
Kent 1/20
Montgomery 1/25
Prince George's 1/5
Queen Anne's 1/10
Saint Mary's 1/3
Somerset 1/1
Talbot 1/25
Washington 1/1
Wicomico 1/5
Worcester 1/1


Maryland statewide zoning density is stored as an ArcInfo polygon coverage MD_Z_DENS_P.

Publicly-owned lands, which consist of Federal and DNR properties, and county parks, were rasterized and merged into a single statewide grid with a 250 meter cell size. The resulting grid was then converted into a polygon coverage (MD_PUB_P) for cartographic representation. Only those public lands whose areas are greater than 6,250,000 square meters (625 hectares, or 1,544 acres) are shown. The Maryland Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map depicts publicly owned lands as open thick black border polygons.

The road network and county boundaries are represented statewide from the same data used at the county level. All county road and county boundary databases were joined into a single statewide arc coverage (MD_RD). State boundaries from the ARC/USA database were used to symbolize regional state boundaries. The same source was used for major rivers/streams.

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5.2 Analysis Procedures for Projected Development Pressure on Farmland Maps

5.2.1 Frederick County

The Frederick County Projected Development Pressure on Farmland 1995-2020 map is an effort to represent the spatial distribution and pattern of development pressures on farmland within Frederick County, Maryland. It focuses on the threat of development pressure on farmland through the translation of population migration and expansion into household increase.

Conceptually, two basic analytical steps are applied to map development pressure on farmland. First, the potential buildout, or the number of acres potentially converted to built-up landuse is identified for an area. Then, potential buildout is then divided by the number of acres of farmland within that same area to show development pressure expressed as a ratio.

Potential buildout is modeled by Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ) or Election District (ED) by multiplying the forecasted increase in the number of households (provided by the Maryland Office of Planning) from 1995 - 2020 by the county average parcel size in acres for residential agriculture parcels. The TAZ and EDs are the smallest enumeration areas available statewide showing current household increase forecasts. Potential buildout shows the number of acres of farmland which could potentially be converted to built-up landuse within a given TAZ or ED.

Potential Buildout = household increase 1995 - 2020 x county average residential agriculture parcel size in acres

Image 3, Detail, Frederick County Projected Development Pressure on Farmland 1995 - 2020

Image 3, Detail, Frederick County Projected Development Pressure on Farmland 1995 - 2020



Development pressure is modeled by dividing TAZ or ED potential buildout by the number of acres of farmland (areas zoned for agriculture or areas with agricultural landuse) within a given TAZ or ED. It shows the ratio, then, of potential farmland conversion to the number of acres of farmland available.

Development Pressure Formula



This model for development pressure is implemented using ArcInfo GRID GIS software. To map potential buildout, two basic information surfaces are required. First, TAZ/ED forecast household increase values from 1995-2020 are gridded at a cell size of 100 meters. (8) Next, the county average size for all residential agriculture parcels (in 1993) is rasterized to a grid surface. The surface represents county by county the average size for residential agriculture parcels. In the case of Frederick County, the average parcel size used was 12.78 acres. The grid representing household increase per TAZ/ED is multiplied by the grid representing the residential agriculture parcel size to produce a new grid showing potential buildout of farmland per TAZ/ED.

To map development pressure, two additional basic information surfaces were produced. First, landcover and landuse zoning were rasterized at a cell size of 100 meters. Next, based on zoning and landuse grids, the area in acres of lands zoned for farmland or lands used for farming was calculated for each TAZ/ED and rasterized. The result is a TAZ/ED grid surface showing the area in acres of farmland per TAZ/ED. The potential buildout surface is divided by the resulting grid to produce a continuous surface of development pressure. The development pressure surface is then screened to show development pressure only on those areas zoned for farmland or lands used for farming.

Development pressure is then simplified into low, medium, and high range categories. The categories, or bins of development pressure are stored as a polygon coverage (FR_DPRESS_P). Low development pressure areas have from 0 to less than 0.5 buildout to farmland acres per TAZ/ED ratios. Low development pressure is represented in dark green areas on the Frederick County Projected Development Pressure on Farmland 1995-2020 map. Moderate development pressure areas have from 0.5 to less than 0.75 buildout to farmland acres per TAZ/ED ratios. These areas are symbolized as deep yellow areas on the Frederick County Projected Development Pressure on Farmland 1995-2020 map. High development pressure areas have greater than 0.75 buildout to farmland acres per TAZ/ED ratios.

Selected features found on the Frederick County Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map are portrayed on the Frederick County Projected Development Pressure on Farmland 1995-2020 map to provide a context for development pressure and protection. TAZ/ED boundaries are also portrayed on the map to depict the original enumeration units for the analysis.

5.2.2 Maryland Statewide

Image 4, Detail, Maryland Projected Development Pressure on Farmland, 1995 - 2020

Image 4, Detail, Maryland Projected Development Pressure on Farmland, 1995 - 2020



The conceptual process for deriving development pressure for Maryland statewide is identical to the process used at the county level. Farmland potential buildout is divided by the acreage of farmland per unit area to generate development pressure on farmland across Maryland.

The model is implemented statewide by first rasterizing forecast household increase 1995 - 2020 per TAZ/ED for each county. Subsequently each county grid is merged to produce a statewide surface of household increase. The statewide household increase grid is multiplied by a grid representing each county's average residential parcel size in acres. Table 3, Maryland Average Acres per Parcel for Residential Agriculture (With and Without Improvements) lists the county average parcel sizes used in the Maryland statewide model. The result is a statewide farmland buildout potential surface.

Table 3, Maryland Average Acres per Parcel for Residential Agriculture

(With and Without Improvements)

County County Average Acres for Residential Agriculture Parcel
Allegany County 9.14
Anne Arundel 8.88
Baltimore County 8.90
Calvert County 9.54
Caroline County 12.30
Carroll County 8.79
Cecil County 9.63
Charles County 14.06
Dorchester County 10.47
Frederick County 12.78
Garrett County 10.78
Harford County 10.17
Howard County 12.66
Kent County 11.38
Montgomery County 8.21
Prince George's County 0.59
Queen Anne's County 17.03
Saint Mary's County 11.37
Somerset County 9.63
Talbot County 10.36
Washington County 10.46
Wicomico County 10.71
Worcester County 10.80


The statewide buildout potential surface is then divided by a gridded surface representing the statewide area in acres of farmland (areas zoned for farmland or areas with agricultural landuse) per TAZ/ED. The result is a continuous surface of development pressure per TAZ/ED. This surface is then screened to areas of farmland and generalized into low, medium, and high development pressure categories. The bins used match the county development pressure categories. Low pressure ranges from 0 to less than 0.5 buildout to farmland acres per TAZ/ED. Moderate pressure ranges from 0.5 to less than 0.75 buildout to farmland acres per TAZ/ED. High development pressure is 0.75 or greater buildout to farmland acres per TAZ/ED. The resulting statewide development pressure categories grid is polygonized (MD_DPRESS_P) for cartographic display. Low pressure is symbolized in green, moderate pressure appears in yellow, and high development pressure appears in red.

Selected features found on the Maryland Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map are portrayed on the Maryland Projected Development Pressure on Farmland 1995-2020 map to contextualize development pressure and farmland protection. TAZ/ED boundaries are also portrayed on the map to depict the original enumeration units for the analysis.

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5.2.3 Alternate Methodological Approaches for Projected Development Pressure on Farmland Map

Three basic alternate approaches for modeling development pressure were identified and tested for this concept of operations document. In general terms, the alternates implemented resulted in development pressure maps that reflect modeling assumptions which are significantly more complicated than the approach discussed above. Each approach modeled development pressure based on household increase, but modified household increase by a number of geophysical, distance, and zoning parameters.

The first alternate approach considered was an implementation of development pressure at the cellular, rather than the TAZ/ED level. While this approach may have implied a spatial precision greater than the TAZ/ED level, it was rejected because of the significant fracturing of development pressure patterns in small areas. Moreover, forecast household increase projections are available statewide only at the TAZ/ED level. Cell-level modeling makes an undesirable assumption of spatial accuracy at a level lower than is appropriate for the available household increase information.

The second approach to modeling development pressure accounted for the impact of transportation infrastructure in producing corridor-based development pressure. It also modeled development pressure at the cellular level. Analysis of historical landcover change data for the Baltimore-Washington area from 1966 to 1982 revealed that 95% of all change from non-urban to urban landcover occurred within only ~2.1 miles (~3.4 km) of major transportation arterials. (9) Development pressure within the Baltimore-Washington area may be characterized as transportation- infrastructure guided. Landcover proximity to major arterials greatly increased the probability of landcover conversion to built-up. The alternate development pressure modeling approach incorporated this information by increasing development pressure by a given factor for farmlands within 2.1 miles of a major arterial. As farmland distance from major arterials increased, development pressure decreased proportionally.

This modeling practice, while common in development pressure modeling, was rejected because of concerns over unnecessary complexity and the potential for colinearity, or redundant interaction, between a distance decay-driven development pressure model and distance decay modeling factors applied in strategic farmland and farmland viability models.

A third modeling approach for development pressure was the incorporation of terrain and zoning information to modify development pressure. The approach accounts for the impact of zoning and terrain slope to assess the potential suitability of land for development. The approach reduces development pressure in the form of household increase on areas with slope that is too high to be developed or built up, while increasing pressure on areas with low slope. Moreover, landuse zoning modifies development pressure under the model downward in areas zoned for conservation, while pushing pressure upward in areas zoned for development or in areas with sewer service districts.

Since the significance and magnitude of pressure increase or decrease for different zoning areas relies on explicit assumptions which may be considered qualitative, rather than quantitative, the incorporation of zoning and sewer service areas into the model was rejected. The incorporation of slope information was rejected since it would require modeling at the cellular level, rather than the TAZ/ED level.

Lastly, modeling of development pressure based on the nominal county zoning density for agriculture, rather than parcel size information was implemented to generate the buildout component of the model. This alternate approach is an additional attempt to incorporate zoning requirements. The model was rejected by the Farms for the Future Board in favor of the parcel size-based model. Concerns over the long term viability and accuracy of the zoning, in comparison with the effective zoning density were raised. Efforts are underway to implement a development pressure model based on the effective, or in-practice county zoning density requirements for agriculture.

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5.3 Analysis Procedures for Farmland Agricultural Significance

It was stated earlier that this concept of operations document and the Chesapeake Farms for the Future Mapping Project approaches the issue of mapping farmland significance through multiple themes. Soil- and non-soil based productivity, as well as non-agricultural features on farmland, are mapped to capture the agricultural significance of the Chesapeake landscape.

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5.3.1 Analysis Procedures for Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity) Maps

5.3.1.1 Frederick County

The Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity) map represents agriculturally significant farmlands within Frederick County from a soil productivity standpoint. The map identifies areas of low, moderate and high soil-based farmland productivity.



Image 5, Detail, Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity)

Image 5, Detail, Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity)

Conceptually, the model combines soil yield information on several crop types from State Soil Geographic (STATSGO) Data Base soil units with generalized Maryland Natural Soils Groups ratings for soil agricultural productivity. This combination produces soil productivity performance ratings on farmland areas. Soil yield information, measured as an average yield potential for several crop types appropriate to Maryland, are multiplied by a weighting factor based on the Maryland Natural Soils Groups ratings information. Areas with better Natural Soils Group ratings receive higher productivity multiplier factors, while areas with lower Natural Soils Groups ratings receive lower productivity multipliers. Soil-based productivity may be symbolized in the following conceptual formula:

Soil-Based Productivity = Average Soil Crop Yield x Soil Productivity Ratings

The soil productivity model was implemented using ArcInfo GRID. Soil yield information was processed using STATSGO soil units, provided by the US Department of Agriculture Soil Conservation Service and National Soil Survey Center. A soil-based yield value for each soil unit was derived by multiplying the average soil unit yield in bushels for corn, wheat, soy, and oats times the average soil unit yield in tons of grass-legume hay, corn silage, and alfalfa hay. The result is an aggregated average soil crop yield grid.

A grid showing ratings for soil productivity was next generated from the Generalized Maryland Natural Soils Groups database provided by the Maryland Office of Planning. The Generalized Maryland Natural Soils Groups database represents areas of soil productivity characterized as prime, productive, or other productivity. A grid was produced for Frederick County which placed rating values for soil productivity based on the Soils Groups. Areas with prime productivity were given a weighting factor of 3. Areas with productive ratings were assigned a factor of 2. Areas with the 'other' productivity were assigned a 1. The result was a gridded surface representing soil productivity ratings.

The next analytic step in the model is the multiplication of the aggregated average soil crop yield grid by the soil productivity ratings grid. The output is then screened to farmland areas (areas zoned for agriculture or of agriculture landuse).This step produces a grid surface showing the interaction of soil yield performance and soil productivity ratings.

The resulting grid is categorized into low, medium, and high soil-based productivity bins. The soil productivity category ranges were chosen based on "natural breaks" in the gridded data. The categories minimize the variance in productivity within the bins, while maximizing the productivity variance between the bins. The grid is converted into a polygon coverage (FR_PROD_P) for cartographic display. Low soil-based productivity ranges from 0 to less than 970, and is symbolized as dark green areas on the Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity) map. Moderate soil-based productivity ranges from 970 to less than 1600 and is symbolized as deep yellow areas on the county map. High soil-based productivity ranges from 1600 to a maximum productivity of 2,353. High soil-based productivity areas are shown in red on the soil-based productivity map.

Selected features included on the Frederick County Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map are portrayed on the Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity) map as a reference for the interaction of soil-based farmland productivity and farmland protection.

5.3.1.2 Maryland Statewide

Image 6, Detail, Maryland Farmland With Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity)

Image 6, Detail, Maryland Farmland With Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity)

The analytic concepts and implementation for modeling Maryland statewide farmland with significant agricultural features based on soil productivity are based on the county-level approach. Image 6, Maryland Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity) portrays Maryland statewide soil productivity on farmland. The additional step of rasterizing and merging each county Maryland Natural Soils Group ratings database to a single statewide grid at a cell size of 500 meters (25 hectares, or 61.77 acres) was taken. The same coding scheme for the county level was applied statewide. A rating score of 3 applies to areas with prime productivity. A 2 is assigned to areas with the productive rating, and areas with 'other' productivity are assigned a 1.

The Maryland Statewide STATSGO soil yield ratings (which are the average yield in corn, wheat, soy, and oats times the average soil unit yield in tons of grass-legume hay, corn silage, and alfalfa hay) were also rasterized at 500 meter cell size (25 hectares, or 61.77 acres). The resulting grid is multiplied by the statewide soil productivity ratings grid to produce a statewide soil productivity grid. The grid is screened to farmlands and categorized into low, medium, and high productivity bins. The category ranges are identical to the natural breaks bins applied at the county level. Low soil-based productivity ranges from 0 to less than 970, moderate soil-based productivity ranges from 970 to less than 1600, and high soil-based productivity ranges from 1600 to a maximum productivity of 2,353. The resulting grid is polygonized into an ArcInfo polygon coverage (MD_PROD_P). Low, moderate, and high soil productivity are portrayed as deep green, yellow, and red areas respectively on the Maryland Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity) map.

Selected features found on the Maryland Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map are portrayed on the Maryland Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on Soil Productivity) map to represent soil-based productivity and farmland protection. State and local farmland protections are simplified into open black circles to avoid cartographic interaction between protection symbol colors and productivity symbol colors.

An alternate approach to modeling soil-based productivity at the state and county level using a different crop mix is currently underway. This approach selects yield information for the top four crop types, based on acreage for each of the six Maryland regions, as defined by the Maryland Office of Planning. This scenario trades a single, consistent set of crops for crop type mixes that change from region to region to produce more locally significant productivity results.

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5.3.2 Analysis Procedures for Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on non-Soil Productivity)

5.3.2.1 Frederick County

Image 7, Detail, Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on non-Soil Productivity) is an attempt to map the significance of Chesapeake farmland from a farmland sales value perspective. The map shows areas of low, medium, and high farmland sales per acre of farmland along with basic reference information provided on the County Landuse, Zoning, and Protection map.

Conceptually, the non-soil productivity map shows the weighted total value of agricultural products sold per farmland acre within a given farmland area. The model is implemented through ArcInfo GRID.

Image 7, Detail, Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Freatures (Based on non-Soil Productivity)

Image 7, Detail, Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Freatures (Based on non-Soil Productivity)

The only consistent source of sub-county level agriculture sales data Maryland statewide is found in the U.S. Census of Agriculture 1992 ZIP Code Farm Counts database. The database is a count, by ZIP code of the total number of farms meeting varying agriculture census criteria. In the case of total value of agricultural sales, the U.S. Census of Agriculture 1992 ZIP Code Farm Counts database records the total number of farms whose sales are greater in value than $1,000 per year in 1992.

To derive subcounty level agricultural sales information, the ZIP code farm counts serve as a weighting value on county-level total sale value of agricultural products for 1992. The ZIP code proportion of total farms is calculated and gridded. The resulting grid shows the proportion of total farms each ZIP code contains of the Frederick County total number of farms. This proportion surface is then multiplied by the total value of agricultural products sold for all of Frederick County in 1992 to derive a weighted total value of agricultural products sold by ZIP code. The conceptual formula for ZIP weighted county total value of agricultural products sold is:





The ZIP weighted county total value of agricultural products sold is then divided by the total acres of farmland per ZIP code (derived from Maryland Office of Planning landuse and zoning data) to generate a sales density surface. County nonsoil productivity is defined as ZIP code level total sales per farmland acre :

Nonsoil Productivity Formula

Non-soil productivity is screened to farmland (acres zoned for agriculture or areas with agriculture landuse) and then categorized into low, medium, and high non-soil productivity bins. Low non-soil productivity ranges from $0 to less than $325 total agricultural product sales value per acre. Moderate non-soil productivity ranges from $325 to less than $487 total agricultural product sales value per acre. High non-soil productivity ranges from $487 to a maximum total agricultural product sales value per acre of $6,124. The category ranges are based on natural breaks within the data. The bins are designed to minimize variance within the groups and maximize variance between the groups. Low non-soil productivity is depicted in dark green, while moderate non-soil productivity is portrayed in yellow and high non-soil productivity is portrayed in red.

Selected Frederick County Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map features are also included on the Frederick County Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on non-Soil Productivity) map .

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5.3.2.2 Maryland Statewide

Image 8, Detail, Maryland Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on non-Soil Productivity)

Image 8, Detail, Maryland Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on non-Soil Productivity)

The conceptual approach to the Maryland Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on non-Soil Productivity) map differs from the county counterpart map in terms of the enumeration units used. The concept for the map is a choropleth design showing at the county level the total dollar value of agricultural products sold per farmland acre. No interpolation of sales information is made on the Maryland statewide modeling approach.

The model is implemented by gridding the county total value of all agricultural products sold in 1992 (recorded by the US Census of Agriculture) to a statewide surface with a cell size of 250 meters. The sales surface is then divided by the county total acres in farmland (from the 1992 US Agriculture Census). The resulting surface is the nonsoil productivity measurement to be mapped:

Nonsoil Productivity Formula

Nonsoil productivity is screened to those areas zoned for agriculture or of agricultural landuse. The resulting grid is categorized using the "natural breaks" method into low, moderate, and high non-soil productivity categories. The categorized grid is converted to a polygon coverage for cartographic display (MD_SALES_P).

In the Maryland statewide model, low non-soil productivity ranges from $0 to less than $325 county total value of agricultural products sold per farmland acre in 1992. Low non-soil productivity is shown in deep green areas. Moderate non-soil productivity ranges from $325 to less than $487 county total sales value per farmland acre in 1992. Moderate productivity is symbolized in deep yellow areas. High non-soil productivity ranges from $487 to a maximum of $2,958 county total sales value per farmland acre. Areas in deep red represent highest farmland non-soil productivity.

The Maryland Farmland with Significant Agricultural Features (Based on non-Soil Productivity) map also portrays selected features found on the Maryland Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map.

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5.4 Analysis Procedures for Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features (Environmental, Cultural, and Historic)

This concept of operations also assesses the value of Chesapeake Farmlands from a nonagricultural standpoint. Maps representing the distribution and pattern of environmental, cultural, and historic features on Chesapeake farmland were produced.

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5.4.1 Frederick County



Image 9, Detail, Frederick County Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features (Environmental, Cultural, and Historic)

Image 9, Detail, Frederick County Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features (Environmental, Cultural, and Historic)(Draft)

Conceptually, the Frederick County Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features (Environmental, Cultural, and Historic) map is an overlay map. It records the location and extent of cultural, historical, and environmental features located on Frederick County farmlands.

The environmental component of the map currently consists of forested areas zoned for agriculture, species habitat, and wetlands on farmlands.

Sensitive forested lands zoned for agriculture were selected from landuse and zoning coverages provided by the Maryland Office of Planning. The US Fish & Wildlife National Wetlands Inventory (NWI) polygon coverage, provided Maryland statewide by the Maryland DNR, is screened by size to call out significant wetlands. Significant wetlands are defined as wetlands on farmland with an area greater than 7,500 square meters (1.85 acres).

Basemap features from the Frederick County Landuse, Zoning and Farmland Protection map are included to provide spatial context for non-agricultural sensitivity.

When data collection is completed, the map will show known zones of endangered species habitat, forest interior habitat, forest legacy sites, waterfowl staging areas, waterfowl nesting areas, and wetlands and areas of Critical State Concern (provided by the Maryland DNR). The map will also portray archeological sites, historic sites, and historic property locations (provided by the Maryland Historic Trust) on farmlands.

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5.4.2 Maryland Statewide

Image 10, Detail, Maryland Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features (Environmental, Cultural, and Historic) (Draft)

Image 10, Detail, Maryland Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features (Environmental, Cultural, and Historic) (Draft)

The Maryland Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features (Environmental, Cultural, and Historic) map follows design concepts similar to those described for the Frederick County map. Information components for environmental, historic and cultural farmland significance are combined through overlay to produce a composite map showing the distribution and pattern of non-agricultural farmland significance. Features from the county level map are also portrayed at the state level.

Wetlands from the US Geological Survey Land Use and Land Cover database were extracted and combined with wetland areas from the Maryland Office of Planning composite databases to produce a comprehensive statewide wetlands base. NWI wetlands were not used at the state level. In addition, farmlands within 1,000 feet of Chesapeake Shoreline have been highlighted to emphasize the pattern of farmlands within sensitive shoreline areas.

As with the county map, once data collection is completed, the map will portray a number of additional geographic themes highlighting the environmental, cultural, and historic significance of farmland.

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5.5 Analysis Procedures for Projected Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995 - 2020 Map

GIS analytic tools were applied to model expected surface imperviousness increase at the subwatershed level. The maps produced serve as indicators of the threat to water quality through increasing surface imperviousness on farmland.

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5.5.1 Frederick County



Image 11, Detail, Frederick County Projected Average Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995-2020

Image 11, Detail, Frederick County Projected Average Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995-2020

Image 11 shows a detail view of the Frederick County Projected Average Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995 - 2020 map. The map shows projected surface imperviousness increase by sub watershed for 1995 through 2020. It is an effort to emphasize the relationship of farmlands and water quality. It attempts to draw the impact of spreading landcover imperviousness on water quality to farmland protection planning.

Conceptually, the model measures surface imperviousness increase as the product of household increase per acre and the average imperviousness increase expected per household unit increase. The model concept, expressed as a formula, is:

Surface Imperviousness Cover Increase = Increase in Households per Acre x Expected Increase in Imperviousness per Household Increase Per Acre

The model is implemented using ArcInfo GRID at a cell size of 100 meters. A number of assumptions and constraints on the model have been made. The basic modeling process is to first produce a raster surface of forecast household increase per acre by Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ) or Election District (ED). The surface is then multiplied by the expected increase in imperviousness per household increase per acre per TAZ or ED. The TAZ/ED expected imperviousness increase is then adjusted to subwatersheds through averaging. Subwatershed boundaries are provided by the Maryland Department of Natural Resources. The resulting surface is simplified into low, medium and high categories of increase.

The increase per acre by TAZ or ED was derived from household increase forecasts provided by the Maryland Office of Planning. The household increase per acre was adjusted to permit an increase in households only up to the average zoning density requirement of agriculture for each county. (See Table 2, Average Maryland County Agricultural Zoning Density Requirements, for a list of the average zoning density requirements used for each county). Therefore, any increase in households beyond that permitted under the zoning density requirement is removed from consideration in the model. This approach assumes both the enforcement of zoning density requirements and that any household increase in excess of the requirement represents increase in areas already built-up.

The expected increase in imperviousness per household increase per acre per TAZ or ED was derived from a base rule provided by the Maryland Office of Planning. The guideline used is that at a zoning density of one household unit per 20 acres, 12% of landcover is expected to be impervious. Translated into expected increase in imperviousness per household increase per acre per TAZ or ED, the imperviousness cover is a constant scalar of 2.4. Expressed algebraically,

Imperviousness Constant Formula





Therefore,

TAZ/ED surface impervious increase (percent) = TAZ/ED adjusted increase in households per acre (up to the zoning density requirement) x 2.4

The resulting TAZ/ED surface imperviousness increase GRID is then overlaid with a gridded subwatershed surface. The average percent surface imperviousness increase for subwatersheds is then calculated (FR_IMPERVM). The imperviousness increase is then simplified into low, medium, and high surface imperviousness increase categories as shown in the following Table 4:

Table 4 Subwatershed Average Percent Surface Imperviousness Increase Category Ranges

Imperviousness Increase Imperviousness Increase Range
Low 0 < 5%
Moderate 5% < 8%
High 8% +


The result is a grid of low, moderate and high surface imperviousness increase for subwatersheds (FR_IMPERV_BIN). The grid is converted to a polygon for cartographic display (FR_IMPERV_P).

The features included on the Frederick County Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map are portrayed on the Frederick County Projected Average Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995 - 2020 map as a reference for the interaction of surface imperviousness increase and farmland protection. Since landuse information is concealed by the subwatershed information, farmlands (areas zoned for agriculture or of agriculture landuse) have been called out with a hatch pattern overlaying the subwatersheds. Water landcover was also portrayed for the Chesapeake bay.

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5.5.2 Maryland Statewide

Image 12, Detail, Maryland Projected Average Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995-2020

Image 12, Detail, Maryland Projected Average Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995-2020

Image 12, Detail, Maryland Projected Average Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995 - 2020 shows the increase of surface imperviousness Maryland statewide.

The mapping methodology invokes the same concepts and operations used at the county level design. First, a statewide 250 meter cell-size (15.44 acres) raster surface of forecast household increase per acre by TAZ/ED is produced. The surface is multiplied by the expected increase in imperviousness per household increase per acre per TAZ or ED. The TAZ/ED expected imperviousness increase is then adjusted to subwatersheds through averaging. The resulting surface is simplified into low, medium and high categories of imperviousness increase. (See Table 4, above, for a breakdown of the category information.) The resulting grid (MD_SW_IMP) is converted into polygons for cartographic display (MD_SW_IMP_P).

Maryland Landuse, Zoning, and Farmland Protection map features are also incorporated with the Maryland Projected Average Subwatershed Surface Imperviousness Increase 1995 - 2020 map. Farmlands have been represented with an overlaid hatch pattern.

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6.0 Quantitative Output Analysis Products

This document presents a set of representative acreage summary tables and charts as examples of the analytical capabilities of Geographic Information Systems to engineer information useful in building knowledge for farmland protection within the Chesapeake Bay.

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6.1 Acreage Summary Tables Samples

A series of data tables was produced representing acreage conditions of farmland in terms of development pressure, agriculture productivity, and development pressure on farmland productivity. Summary frequency tables were produced for the County, Regional, Watershed and Statewide levels for Maryland.

The County, Regional, Watershed, and Statewide Farmland Acreage Summary Table shows the total acreage of farmland (lands of agriculture use or zoned for agriculture) for each county, six Maryland Regions, the Chesapeake Bay watershed area of Maryland, and Maryland statewide. The table also shows each geographic subarea's proportion of the total Maryland farmland.

The table was produced using information derived through raster-based analysis in ArcInfo GRID. Combined farmlands and enumeration unit geography were rasterized Maryland statewide at a cell size of 250 meters. Farmland acreage frequencies were calculated using MICROSOFT EXCEL. The minimum mapping unit for calculating acreage is 62,500 square meters, or 15.44 acres. All of the summary tables presented in the concept of operations document follow these computational parameters.

Maryland Regions are functional groupings of counties as defined by the Maryland Office of Planning. Table 5, Maryland Regions Counties List shows the composition of each of the six Maryland Regions.

Table 5, Maryland Regions Counties List

1. Baltimore Region 4. Upper Eastern Shore
Anne Arundel County Caroline County
Baltimore County Cecil County
Baltimore City Kent County
Carroll County Queen Anne's County
Harford County Talbot County
Howard County 5. Washington Region
2. Lower Eastern Shore Frederick County
Dorchester County Montgomery County
Somerset County Prince George's County
Wicomico County 6. Western Maryland
Worcester County Allegany County
3. Southern Maryland Garrett County
Calvert County Washington County
Charles County
St. Mary's County


Development Pressure on Farmland is tabulated on the Maryland Development Pressure on Farmland County Watershed Acreage Summary table. The table was produced based on a raster cell size of 250 meters. The table shows the breakdown of low, moderate, and high development pressure on farmland for each county under the "% of Total County Farmland Acres" column. The "% of Maryland Total Acres (All Farmland)" column shows the county's share of all Maryland Farmland. The last column, "% of Maryland Total (by Pressure Category) shows each county's share of farmland by development pressure level. The table also presents development pressure summary information for the Chesapeake Bay watershed area of Maryland and Maryland statewide (the "% of Maryland Total Acres (All Farmland)" column). Similar information is summarized by the six Maryland Regions in the Maryland Development Pressure by Region Summary Table.

The Maryland Soil-Based Productivity County, Watershed, and Statewide Farmland Acreage is a tabulation of farmland significance acreage from a soil-based perspective. The table portrays each County's proportion of low, moderate and high soil-based productivity. It also shows each county's share of Maryland statewide soil-based farmland productivity, along with each county's share by soil-based productivity level. The Maryland Regional Soil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage Summary Table computes similar information on a regional basis. It summarizes the Maryland regional acreage of low, moderate, and high soil-based farmland productivity.

The Maryland Non-soil Based Productivity County, Watershed, and Statewide Farmland Acreage summarizes Maryland county-level non-soil based productivity. Each county has a single non-soil productivity rating, and the table portrays each county's share of Maryland total farmland and each county's share by nonsoil-based productivity level. The non-soil based productivity is further synthesized by Maryland Regions in the Maryland Regional Nonsoil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage Summary Table.

The Maryland Development Pressure on Farmland Soil-Based Productivity by County, Watershed, and Statewide Farmland Acreage table synthesizes the distribution of low, moderate, and high development pressure on low, moderate and high soil-based farmland productivity. The Columns "Soil Productivity" and "Development Pressure" assess each county's level of soil productivity and development pressure respectively. The column "% of Total County Farmland Acres" reveals the breakdown by County of development pressure by soil-based productivity. The table also shows each soil-productivity by development pressure combination share of Maryland total farmland acres. The "% of Maryland Total (by Combined Productivity & Pressure Category)" column in the table shows each county's share of a given soil-productivity and development pressure combination. The Maryland Regional Development Pressure on Soil-based Productivity Farmland Acreage Summary Table shows similar information aggregated to the Maryland Regional level.

The Maryland Development Pressure on Nonsoil-based Productivity, County, Watershed, and Statewide Farmland Acreage Summary Table, assesses development pressure on non-soil based productivity. For each county, the county's breakdown of development pressure by non-soil based productivity is reported in the "% of Total County Farmland Acres" column. The Maryland Regional Development Pressure on Nonsoil-based Productivity Farmland Acreage Summary Table presents similar information on a Maryland Regional basis.



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6.2 Acreage Summary Graphs

The information developed by tabulation in the above tables may also be presented in a graphic form. MICROSOFT EXCEL was used to produce bar charts showing acreage summary information for farmland, development pressure, soil-based productivity, nonsoil-based productivity, development pressure on soil-based productivity, and development pressure on nonsoil-based productivity. The charts are based on information presented in the tables described in the previous section. Collectively, thirty-one charts portray synthesized Maryland statewide, Chesapeake Bay Watershed, regional, and county-level information. The selected sample charts included in this paper are extracted from draft information tables from older models for development pressure and farmland definitions. Consequently, the charts are intended to illustrate the charting concepts and do not represent final acreage values for the Farms for the Future Mapping project.

Chart 1, Maryland County Farmland Acres presents the proportion and acreage of the acres of farmland for each county in Maryland. Chart 2, Maryland Regional Farmland Acres summarizes the proportion and acreage of the acres of farmland for each Maryland Region. Chart 3, Maryland Farmland Acres summarizes the total number of acres in farmland for Chesapeake Bay Watershed Maryland and Maryland Statewide.

Chart 1, Maryland County Farmland Acres

Chart 1, Maryland County Farmland Acres

Chart 4, Maryland County Farmland Development Pressure Farmland Acreage portrays the distribution, in acres, of low, moderate and high development pressure on farmland for each Maryland county. Chart 5, Maryland Regional Development Pressure Farmland Acreage shows the acreage distribution of low, moderate, and high development pressure on farmland for each of the six Maryland Regions. Chart 6, Maryland Chesapeake Bay Watershed Development Pressure on Farmland Acreage shows development pressure categories for the Chesapeake Bay Watershed area of Maryland. Chart 7, Maryland Statewide Development Pressure Farmland Acreage depicts the farmland acreage under low, moderate, and high development pressure for the entire state of Maryland.

Chart 4, Maryland County Farmland Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 4, Maryland County Farmland Development Pressure Farmland Acreage



Chart 5, Maryland Regional Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 5, Maryland Regional Development Pressure Farmland Acreage





Chart 7, Maryland Statewide Development Pressure on Farmland Acreage

Chart 7, Maryland Statewide Development Pressure on Farmland Acreage

Chart 8, Maryland County Soil Productivity Farmland Acreage shows the distribution of soil-based farmland productivity (low, moderate, and high) acreage for each Maryland County. Chart 9, Maryland regional Soi-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage shows low, moderate, and high soil-based productivity for each Maryland Region. Chart 10, Maryland Chesapeake Bay Watershed Soil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage charts out soil-based farmland productivity for the Chesapeake Bay areas of Maryland. Chart 11, Maryland Statewide Soil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage summarizes total soil-based farmland productivity Maryland Statewide.

Chart 8, Maryland County Soil Productivity Farmland Acreage

Chart 8, Maryland County Soil Productivity Farmland Acreage

Chart 12, Maryland County Nonsoil-based Productivity Farmland Acreage represents the distribution of county-level acreage of low, moderate, and high non-soil based farmland acres. Chart 13, Maryland Regional Nonsoil-based Productivity Farmland Acreage shows low, moderate and high nonsoil-based farmland productivity acreage for each of the six Maryland regions. Chart 14, Maryland Chesapeake Watershed Nonsoil-based Productivity Farmland Acreage, shows the distribution of farmland nonsoil-based productivity for the Chesapeake Bay Watershed area of Maryland. Chart 15, Maryland Statewide Nonsoil-based Productivity Farmland Acreage summarizes nonsoil productivity to the Maryland statewide level.

Chart 12, Maryland County Nonsoil Based Productivity Farmland Acreage

Chart 12, Maryland County Nonsoil Based Productivity Farmland Acreage



Chart 16, Maryland County Low Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage is an assessment of the distribution development pressure on low soil-based productivity at the county level. It portrays farmland acres of low soil-based productivity for low, moderate, and high levels of development pressure for each county. Chart 17, Maryland County Moderate Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage assesses the relationship between moderate soil-based farm productivity and development pressure. Chart 18, Maryland County High Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage shows the interaction of high soil-based farm productivity and development pressure.

Chart 16, Maryland County Low Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 16, Maryland County Low Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 17, Maryland County Moderate Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 17, Maryland County Moderate Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage





Chart 18, Maryland County High Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 18, Maryland County High Soil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Similar information for the interaction of development pressure on low, moderate, and high soil-based productivity at the Maryland regional level are portrayed on Charts 19, 20, and 21. In each case, the acreage of low, moderate and high development pressure on low, moderate and high soil-based productivity at the Maryland regional level is portrayed.

Chart 22, Maryland Chesapeake Bay Watershed Farmland Development Pressure by Soil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage shows the acreage distribution of development pressure on farmland soil-based productivity at the Chesapeake Bay Watershed level. Chart 23, Maryland Total Farmland Development Pressure by Soil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage, shows each development pressure category by soil-based productivity category for the entire state of Maryland.

Chart 24, Maryland County Low Nonsoil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage is an examination of the interaction of development pressure with low nonsoil productivity farmland at the county level. It shows the acreage of low nonsoil-productivity farmland under low, moderate, and high development pressure for each Maryland county. Chart 25, Maryland County Moderate Nonsoil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage shows the level of development pressure on moderate nonsoil-based farmland productivity at the county level. Chart 26, Maryland County High Nonsoil-based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage shows the impact of development pressure on high nonsoil-based farmland productivity for each county.



Chart 24, Maryland County Low Nonsoil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 24, Maryland County Low Nonsoil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 25, Maryland County Moderate Nonsoil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 25, Maryland County Moderate Nonsoil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage





Chart 26, Maryland County High Nonsoil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Chart 26, Maryland County High Nonsoil-Based Productivity by Development Pressure Farmland Acreage

Charts 27, 28 and 29 organize development pressure on low, moderate, and high nonsoil-based productivity into the regional level. They respectively portray for each of Maryland's six regions the acreage of low, moderate, and high development pressure on low, moderate, and high nonsoil-based productivity.

Chart 30, Maryland Chesapeake Bay Watershed Farmland Development Pressure by Nonsoil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage shows the acreage of each level of development pressure on farmland nonsoil-based productivity for Chesapeake Bay Watershed Maryland. Chart 31, Maryland Total Farmland Development Pressure by Nonsoil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage shows the Maryland statewide total for development pressure on farmland nonsoil-based productivity.

Chart 31, Maryland Total Farmland Development Pressure by Nonsoil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage

Chart 31, Maryland Total Farmland Development Pressure by Nonsoil-Based Productivity Farmland Acreage

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7.0 Conclusions

Geographic Information Systems are a viable tool for addressing complex critical questions for farmland protection planning within the Chesapeake Bay. GIS capabilities were applied to produce maps which identify not only the location and extent of farmland protection, but also model development pressure on farmland. GIS tools were also produced which show the relationship between development pressure and farmland productivity from a soil- and nonsoil-based perspective. GIS is the only tool available for quantifying the impact of development pressure on farmland productivity. It is also the only viable tool for producing generations of multiple versions of farmland significance models. The models presented in this paper are the result of several evolutionary changes and improvements to underlying model requirements and assumptions. More changes and improvements are currently underway.

The Chesapeake Farms for the Future Mapping project is near completion. Additional themes which synthesize the complex spatial patterns of development pressure, farmland agricultural and non-agricultural significance, and water quality change for farmlands are to be produced. The resulting synthesized maps will show farmland strategic value for the Chesapeake. These maps will serve to identify the most significant Chesapeake farmlands under threat of ongoing development pressure. The maps will assist planners in identifying, in a meaningful way, areas for well-planned farmland protection.



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Acknowledgments

The author wishes to thank George Maurer of the Chesapeake Bay Foundation and Jill Schwartz of the American Farmland Trust for their guidance and direction for the Chesapeake Farms for the Future mapping project. The author wishes to acknowledge the valuable input of former EarthSat employee Todd Patterson through his review of this paper and technical support. Thanks also to EarthSat scientists Andy Waxman and Jacques Piou for their technical expertise and assistance through the life of the project.

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Appendixes

Appendix 1 Metadata Assessment of Fitness for Use of Significant Applied Map Databases

The lineage, positional and attribute accuracy, along with logical consistency and completeness of spatial data are collectively known as metadata ("quasi-data," or "data about data"). Metadata is designed to assist users of spatial data in assessing a database's strengths and limitations for use in a GIS analysis or application. Data lineage is the source, original scale and history of processing steps in generating map data. Positional accuracy is the horizontal and vertical positional accuracy of spatial data. Attribute accuracy is the correctness of map theme characteristics. Data completeness is the extent to which a map database represents all of the entities it is expected to represent. Logical consistency refers to the correctness of map database connectedness, adjacency, and the spatial relationships of map data.

This section will identify the basic fitness for use for the significant map databases used in this concept of operations based on several of these metadata criteria. The following metadata index table organizes the original data by the source organization provider.

Metadata Index Table

Geographic Database Theme Source Providing Organization
Simplified Land Use/Land Cover Maryland Office of Planning
Simplified Zoning Maryland Office of Planning
Simplified Sewer Service Areas Maryland Office of Planning
Simplified Soil Agriculture Suitability Maryland Office of Planning
Transportation Analysis Zones(TAZ)/Election Districts(ED) Maryland Office of Planning
County Boundaries and Interstates and Major Arterials Maryland Office of Planning
County Farmland Protection (TDRs and PDRs) County Governments and EarthSat
1994 Protected Lands Data (Ag. Easements, Districts, METs, etc.) Maryland Dept. of Natural Resources
Maryland Statewide National Wetlands Inventory (NWI) Maryland Dept. of Natural Resources
1992 Census of Agriculture US Bureau of the Census
1992 Census of Agriculture ZIP Code Tabulations US Bureau of the Census
1992 TIGER/LINE Basemap Spatial Reference Information US Bureau of the Census
Hydrologic Units US Geological Survey
1 x 1 Degree Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) US Geological Survey
Land Use and Land Cover US Geological Survey
State Soil Geographic (STATSGO) Data Base US Dept. of Agriculture, Soil Conservation Service, National Soil Survey Center
Hydrography Features for the Chesapeake Bay (1992 TIGER/LINE) US Environmental Protection Agency
Baltimore-Washington Landcover, 1966 and 1991 University of Maryland, Baltimore County and the Baltimore-Washington Regional Collaboratory
Placenames 1:2,000,000 Environmental Systems Research Institute
Delaware Geographic Information System (DEGIS) Growth and Development System Model Delaware Dept. of Agriculture and Thompson Mapping
Delaware Population Consortium Delaware Population Projections Delaware Dept. of Health and Social Sciences

Maryland Office of Planning

County Simplified Land Use, Simplified Zoning, Simplified Sewer Service Areas, Simplified Soils Suitability, Transportation Analysis Zones (TAZ)/Election Districts (EDs) composite ArcInfo polygon databases.

The Maryland Office of Planning provided for each Maryland County a composite vector ArcInfo coverage of landuse/landcover, zoning, sewer service, agricultural soil suitability, and TAZ/EDs. A total of 23 composite databases, one for each Maryland County was provided.

Lineage:

Simplified Landuse/Landcover was generated at source scales of 1:63,360 (1 inch = 1 mile) from interpreted airphotos and Landsat TM multispectral image data. The Landuse/landcover represents 1994 conditions. The simplified landuse/landcover categories are all agricultural lands, all forested lands, all developed lands (which include all commercial, residential, industrial, institutional, extractive, open urban land, large lot commercial, and large lot forest lands), all other lands (including barren land), water, and wetlands.

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Simplified Zoning was provided by each Maryland County to the MOP which conducted generalization into Residential Development, Other/Commercial Development, Agricultural, Conservation, Wetlands, and Water. Exact source scales for each county are not available.

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Simplified Sewer Service Areas were also provided by each county and generalized by the Maryland Office of Planning. The designations were simplified into two classes: (a) all existing or planned sewer service areas, and (b) areas not planned for sewer service. Exact source scales for each county are not available.

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Simplified Soil Suitability was generated by the MOP by generalizing the Maryland Natural Soils Groups Ratings into (a) prime productive soils, (b) productive soils, and (c) other soils. Prime productive soils may consist of Maryland Natural Soils Groups designated B1, B1a, E1, E1a, E1b, E3, E3a, G1, G1a. Productive soils may consist of Maryland Natural Soils Groups designated A1, A1a, B1b, B2a, C1, C1a, C2b, E2a, E3b, F2.Other Soils may have the following Maryland Natural Soils Groups designations: UNC, Ma, A1b, A1c, A2, A2a, B1c, B2, B2b, B2c, B3, BP, C1b, C1c, C2c, D1a, D1b, D1c, E2, E2b, E2c, F1, F2a, F3, G2, G2a, G3, G3a, H1, H1a, H1b, H1c, H2a, H2b, H2c, HL. Exact source scales for the Maryland Natural Soils Groups are not available.

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Transportation Analysis Zones (TAZs)/Election Districts were generated by the Maryland Office of Planning from federal or county-provided information. Transportation Analysis Zones are US Census-defined enumeration units based on functional transportation areas. Election districts are recording and reporting areas for Maryland State and local elections. Exact source scales for the Maryland Natural Soils Groups are not available.

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Each of the layers was combined using ArcInfo and composited into a single ArcInfo vector polygon database for each Maryland County.

Each county composite coverage was provided to EarthSat in the following parameters:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy:

Each component of the county composite database was generalized to a minimum mapping unit of 10 acres, or 40,468 square meters. Approximate horizontal positional accuracy is estimated to be <225 meters circular. The exact positional accuracy of each database component was not recorded by the Maryland Office of Planning.

Attribute Accuracy:

The landuse/landcover component of the composite database meets or exceeds the National Map Accuracy Standards for attribute accuracy. The landuse/landcover attributes meet or exceed 80%.

Attribute accuracy for all other database components were not recorded by Maryland Office of Planning.

Logical Consistency:

Connectedness, adjacency and the spatial relationships of map data in the county composite database have been preserved through automated means in the ArcInfo vector topological model. Any errors, such as arc overshoots and undershoots are made explicit in the database.

Completeness:

The county composite databases are considered a complete inclusion of all of the entities they are intended to represent.

Fitness for Use Statement (10) :

In EarthSat's opinion, the Maryland Office of Planning County Simplified Land Use, Simplified Zoning, Simplified Sewer Service Areas, Simplified Soils Suitability, Transportation Analysis Zones (TAZ)/Election Districts (EDs) composite ArcInfo databases are of suitable lineage, positional accuracy, attribute accuracy, completeness, and logical consistency for use at scales of 1:65,000 or smaller. Caution should be exercised when using the data at map scales of greater than 1:65,000 especially with consideration for the 10 acre minimum mapping unit.

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County Boundaries and Interstates and Major Arterials ArcInfo arc databases.

Lineage:

The Maryland Office of Planning provided for each Maryland County a composite vector ArcInfo coverage of Interstates, Major Arterials, and County Boundaries. A total of 23 composite databases, one for each Maryland County was provided. Interstates and arterials were generalized by the Maryland Office of Planning from Maryland Department of Transportation arterials databases. The database features use the "SYMBOL" item to differentiate between county boundaries, interstates and US highways, and other major arterials. County boundaries have a SYMBOL value of 0. Interstates and US highways have a value of 69. Other major arterials have a value of 5.

Each county boundary/roads coverage was provided to EarthSat in the following projection parameters:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy:

Positional accuracy of the county boundaries and major arterials is <100 meters circular.

Attribute Accuracy:

Attribute accuracy complies with National Map Accuracy Standards. Attribute accuracy for road designation is 80% or greater.

Logical Consistency:

Connectedness, adjacency and the spatial relationships of map data in the county boundaries and roads database have been preserved through automated means in the ArcInfo vector topological model. Any errors, such as arc overshoots and undershoots are made explicit in the database.

Completeness:

The county boundary and major roads databases are considered a complete inclusion of all of the entities they are intended to represent.

Fitness for Use Statement:

In EarthSat's opinion, the Maryland Office of Planning County Boundaries and Interstates and Major Arterials ArcInfo databases are of suitable lineage, positional accuracy, attribute accuracy, completeness, and logical consistency for use at scales of 1:50,000 or smaller. Caution should be exercised when using the data at map scales of greater than 1:50,000.

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Maryland Office of Planning, Maryland County Governments and Earth Satellite Corporation

County Farmland Protection ArcInfo polygon databases.

The Maryland Office of Planning provided Earth Satellite Corporation with a set of hardcopy paper maps of County Farmland Protection in the form of Transfer of Development Rights (TDRs) and Purchase of Development Rights (PDRs) for conversion to electronic map database format.

Lineage:

The source scale for each county hardcopy farmland protection map varies according to the following table:

County Farmland Protection Source Scales

County Hardcopy Protection Type Source Scale
Anne Arundel PDRs 1:63,360
Calvert PDRs & TDRs ~1:37,651
Carroll PDRs 1:63,360
Charles TDRs 1:14,400
Frederick Critical Farms, PDRs 1:48,000
Harford PDRs ~1:79,205
Howard PDRs 1:48,000
Montgomery TDRs & PDRs 1:14,000,- 1:36,000
Talbot TDRs ~1:1,236 - ~1:5,162
Washington PDRs ~1:73,677














Note that the source map sheets for county protections are unstable base material (paper, rather than MYLAR). The original projection parameters for the source maps are not known. Each county farmland protection was registered to the 1:100,000 scale US Census TIGER/LINE roads database to define a map coordinate system. The map databases were not spatially registered to existing databases of state-level farmland protections. Each county polygon database records the protection type as either TDR or PDR under the TYPE item.

Each county farmland protection database was projected to the following projection parameters:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy:

Positional accuracy of the county farmland protection is <95 meters circular.

Attribute Accuracy:

Attribute accuracy complies with National Map Accuracy Standards. Attribute accuracy for TDR/PDR designation, based on comparison between the original map set and the digitized databases, is 80% or greater.

Logical Consistency:

Connectedness, adjacency and the spatial relationships of map data in the county farmland protection databases have been preserved through automated means in the ArcInfo vector topological model. Any errors, such as arc overshoots and undershoots are made explicit in the database.

Completeness:

The county farmland protection databases are considered a complete inclusion of all of the original hardcopy map entities they are intended to represent. While Queen Anne's and Carroll Counties have TDR protection programs, hardcopy maps of the TDR protected areas were not available for inclusion in this concept of operations document.

Fitness for Use Statement:

In EarthSat's opinion, the county farmland protection ArcInfo databases are of suitable lineage, positional accuracy, attribute accuracy, completeness, and logical consistency for use at scales of 1:65,000 or smaller. Caution should be exercised when using the data at map scales of greater than 1:65,000. Also, TDR protected areas for Queen Anne's County and Carroll County were not produced.

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Maryland Department of Natural Resources

The Maryland Department of Natural Resources (DNR) provided the Farms for the Future Mapping project with its 1994 Protected Lands Data. The data set consists of ArcInfo polygon databases for each Maryland County. Each database is comprised of the following geographic information themes: State Agriculture Easements, State Agriculture Preservation Districts, Private Protected Lands, Federally-owned Lands, DNR-held lands, County Park Boundaries. For counties where the geographic themes are not present in the database, the entities represented do not exist. The data set also contains a Maryland statewide 12-digit subwatershed ArcInfo polygon coverage.

Lineage:

Maryland DNR provided the Chesapeake Farms for the Future Mapping project with its draft version 1 protected lands data set. The data portrays Maryland lands that are generally protected from development. The data were provided while data quality control editing for nonspatial accuracy were still under progress.

The protected lands were compiled through a variety of contractors and Department of Natural Resources units that collected the data on State parcel maps, USGS 7.5' topographic maps, State 1:62,500 topographic maps, various other maps, and in some cases hand drawn map sheets. Many features were edited to fit the Maryland Geological Survey 1:62,500 county topographic maps. The data set is current through 1994.

The protection database themes were provided in the following projection parameters:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: feet

Datum: North American 1927

Spheroid: Clarke 1866

EarthSat projected the original data to the following projection parameters:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy:

DNR had not conducted spatial accuracy and general quality assurance checks on the data provided to the project. Data may not meet accuracy standards at 1:63,360 scale. Although the data were typically compiled at 1:24,000 scale, they were adjusted to an inaccurate map base with a scale of 1:62,500. According to the Resource Planning Unit, however, DNR Lands are accurate when displayed at a scale of 1:24,000.

Attribute Accuracy:

Attributes have not been completely edited, and all attributes should be suspect by its users. Quality control was in progress when the data were provided to the project.

Logical Consistency:

Tests for logical consistency and required data cleaning are still in progress at the time of data release. Consistency errors are explicit in the database.

Completeness:

There have been intentional omissions due to the sensitive data types. In some cases, the source documents can not be considered complete. All known features of the data were mapped through the following years: Agricultural Easements and Districts, December 1994. METs, January 1994. Federal lands, December 1994. County parks, June 1994, Private Conservation Lands, June 1994. Some privately held properties were intentionally omitted from inclusion at the request of the land holder.

Fitness for Use Statement:

Consideration of the draft nature of the Protected Lands data set should be emphasized here, as should the lack of attribute checks. Moreover, it is worth repeating that deliberate omissions in private protected lands have been made. Nevertheless, in Earth Satellite Corporation's opinion, the DNR Protected Lands data is suitable for the applications made in this concept of operations document. Omissions and spatial inaccuracies are unlikely to meaningfully affect the quality of the county-or statewide level map products. The data are not likely suitable for use at map scales greater than 1:63,360.

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Maryland Statewide National Wetlands Inventory (NWI)

The Maryland Department of Natural Resources Provided the Chesapeake Farms for the Future Mapping Project with the National Wetlands Inventory for the entire state of Maryland. The database contains ArcInfo polygon coverages for Maryland statewide organized by 7.5' quadrangles.

Lineage:

The National Wetland Inventory was produced and distributed originally by the United States Fish & Wildlife Service. It provides the location and type of wetlands nationally. The source information (scale, media, publication data, interpretation method, etc.) varies by each of the 7.5 minute quads for the state. The wetland information is derived through interpretation of National High Altitude Photography (NHAP) or National Aerial Photography Program (NAPP) airphotos. Soil surveys and field checking of wetland photo signatures are also conducted. Scales of source airphotos range from 1:20,000 to 1:132,000. Source map scales for wetlands attributes range from 1:20,000 to 1:62,500. The data calendar dates vary from February 1971 to December 1992. Metadata for individual 7.5' quadrangles are not available. The resulting maps are digitized or scanned from stable-base copies of the 1:24,000 scale wetlands overlays registered to the USGS 7.5' quadrangles.

The NWI Maryland quadrangles were provided by DNR in ArcInfo format in the following projection parameters:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: feet

Datum: North American 1927

Spheroid: Clarke 1866

EarthSat projected the data to the following projection parameters:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy:

The minimum mapping unit is from 1 to 3 acres depending on the wetland type and scale and emulsion of the source aerial photographs. Horizontal position accuracy is estimated to be <4 meters circular or better.

Attribute Accuracy:

Attribute accuracy was tested by the US Fish & Wildlife Service. The database meets National Map Accuracy Standards for attribute accuracy (80% or greater).

Logical Consistency:

Tests for logical consistency were conducted by the US Fish & Wildlife Service. Any topological errors are explicit in the database.

Completeness:

All photo-interpretable wetlands are mapped.

Fitness for Use Statement:

In EarthSat's opinion, the National Wetlands Inventory database is suitable for applications relating to this concept of operations document. It should be stressed, however, that the calendar dates for the inventory range from 1971 to 1992, and that the specific lineage of each NWI quadrangle is not known. It is not recommended that the NWI data be used at map scales larger than 1:36,000.

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United States Bureau of the Census

1992 Census of Agriculture and 1992 Census of Agriculture ZIP code Tabulations

EarthSat purchased at low cost (< $200) the 1992 Census of Agriculture from the Bureau of the Census, Economics and Statistics Administration of the U.S. Department of Commerce. The complete US agriculture census information for 1992 was obtained for national-level, state-level, and county level reporting. It is the most current complete national survey of agriculture in the United States. Under its five-year collection requirement, the Agriculture Census is scheduled to be taken in late 1997.

1992 Agriculture Census ZIP code level farm counts were also purchased. The ZIP code farm count census is a recording of the number of farms at the ZIP code level in 1992 that meet given Census survey question criteria. To be reported, a ZIP code must possess at least three farms with total sales of agricultural products of $1,000 or more per year. Since the survey instrument is conducted by mail, and farm counts are reported on the basis of respondent mailing address ZIP codes, some mismatch between the mailing ZIP code and the actual physical location of farms may exist. However, if there is discernable mismatch between the location of the farm and the mailing address, the farm is not included in the ZIP code farm count. The exact magnitude of this mismatch, and therefore undercount, is not reported in the Census. Census documentation indicates that the "vast majority" of farms were tabulated in the ZIP codes where they were actually located.

Since the Agriculture Census is attribute data only, description of the positional accuracy and logical consistency is not required. In EarthSat's opinion, the Agriculture Census is especially fit for use at the County level and higher geographic extents. It is the most reliable and consistent source of measured agriculture performance, characteristics, and inventory in the U.S. The attributes are reliable and may be considered a complete description of Agriculture operations by the Census reporting enumeration units. Farm counts at the ZIP code level may also be considered reliable, although limited undercount error may be expected because of the survey instrument.

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1992 TIGER/Line Basemap Spatial Reference Information

Lineage:

The 1992 TIGER/Line files data sets are a U.S. country-wide GIS database which record a myriad of spatial reference information. The set was produced by the US Census as a GIS spatial database for the 1990 Decennial Census. State, County and ZIP code boundaries, placenames and landmarks, streets and roads, and rivers and streams were employed from the TIGER/Line set for this concept of operations document. A number of other available TIGER/Line spatial data sets, such as boundaries for Census reporting enumeration geography (e.g., block groups), were not used.

The 1992 TIGER/Line files are compiled from information at a number of map scales from a broad array of sources ranging from field surveys to airphotos. The primary sources were the US Geological Survey's (USGS) 1:100,000 scale Digital Line Graph, USGS 1:24,000 scale map quadrangles, and the Census Bureau's GBF/DIME files updated to 1987. Updates also occurred in 1990 following the decennial census. Locally-provided updates to the TIGER/Line files were also incorporated. The spatial data used were obtained from Wessex's First Street Data set, a value-added private resale of the 1992 TIGER/Line files. The stated currentness date for the files used is 1992.

The original TIGER/Line files were provided to EarthSat in the following projection parameters:

Projection : Geographic

Units : decimal degrees

Datum : North American Datum, 1927

Spheroid : Clarke 1866

Additional Parameters : None

EarthSat projected the TIGER/Line files into the following projection parameters for use in the project:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy:

The positional accuracy of the database files varies across political jurisdictions, and is not recorded by Census. TIGER/Line is intended to show only relative positions of its elements. The positional accuracy of the lineage DLG files used in producing TIGER/Line is approximately <51 meters circular, although in some locations positional accuracy may be degraded.

Attribute Accuracy:

The census did not conduct formal attribute accuracy testing on TIGER/Line files. Informal testing by census indicated an attribute error of less than 2%. Some mismatch between placenames and their physical locations were detected for the county-level map examples in this concept of operations document.

Logical Consistency:

The adjacency and connectedness of features in the TIGER/Line files are stored explicitly in the topological models of the database. Any errors are explicit in the file.

Completeness:

The TIGER/Line data may be considered a complete inclusion of the features they are intended to represent at a scale of 1:100,000 in 1992.

Fitness for Use Statement:

In EarthSat's opinion, the TIGER/Line files are of reasonable data quality to be used at map scales of 1:100,000 or smaller. Caution should be used at map scales of 1:50,000 or larger, given the files' positional accuracy limitations. Placename attribute errors were evident at the county-level.

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The United States Geological Survey

Hydrologic Units

EarthSat obtained Hydrological Units from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) at no cost through the public USGS internet site as part of the US National Spatial Data Infrastructure (NSDI). The hydrological units were used to define the Chesapeake Bay Watershed areas for Maryland and Delaware for the purpose of acreage tabulation. The physical boundaries of the watershed are not represented on maps in this concept of operations document.

Lineage:

The USGS compiled the Hydrological Units database from 1:250,000 scale maps of hydrologic units that were produced in the mid 1970s. Some areas were recompiled at a scale of 1:100,000. The data set was originally compiled to provide the National Water Quality Assessment with study units for an intermediate scale river basin boundary for illustration purposes at intermediate or small scales (1:250,000 or 1:2,000,000). The Hydrological Units define drainage basins.

The Hydrological Units database was obtained by EarthSat as an ArcInfo polygon coverage in the following projection parameters:

Projection : Geographic

Units : decimal degrees

Datum : North American Datum, 1927

Spheroid : Clarke 1866

Additional Parameters : None

EarthSat projected the Hydrological Units into the following projection parameters for use in the project:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy:

The data were compiled at and intended to be used at map scales of 1:250,000. The approximate positional error is estimated to be approximately <32 meters circular.

Attribute Accuracy:

The polygon database contains concatenated attributes which describes each watershed's hydrologic region, hydrologic subregion, accounting unit, and cataloging unit. These attributes serve as unique identifiers for each watershed. No errors were found in the Maryland and Delaware Hydrological Units polygon attributes.

Logical Consistency:

The adjacency and connectedness of features in the Hydrologic Units files are stored explicitly in the topological models of the database. Any errors are explicit in the file.

Completeness:

The Hydrological Units database contains all drainage basins at 1:250,000 scale for Chesapeake Maryland and Delaware.

Fitness For Use Statement:

In EarthSat's opinion, the Hydrologic Units database is of suitable data quality for use at map scales of 1:250,000 or smaller. The database should not be used at map scales larger than 1:250,000.

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1 x 1 Degree Digital Elevation Models (DEM)

EarthSat obtained 1 x 1 Degree Digital Elevation Models (DEM) from the USGS node of the National Spatial Data Infrastructure at no cost. The DEM is a raster-structure model representing elevation above mean sea level in 1 x 1 degree blocks. The DEMs were used in initial modeling of development pressure to account for the effect of slope on surface development potential.

Lineage:

The 1-Degree DEM (3- by 3-arc-second data spacing) provides coverage in 1- by 1-degree blocks for all of the contiguous United States, Hawaii, and limited portions of Alaska. The DEMs therefore are raster structures of approximately 1,024 by 1,024 elevation cells. The digital elevation models were compiled and interpolated from 1:250,000 scale contour map sources.

The DEMs were obtained from USGS as ASCII raster files under the following projection parameters:

Projection : geographic

Units : Decimal Degrees

Zunits : meters

Datum : WGS 72

Spheroid WGS72

The DEM was projected into an intermediate datum (North American CONUS 1983) and converted into ArcInfo GRID before final projection into Maryland Stateplane as follows :

Projection: geographic

Units: Decimal Degrees

Zunits: meters

Datum: NARC (North American CONUS 1983)

Spheroid : GRS80

The resulting grid was projected into Maryland Stateplane :

Projection : stateplane

FIPS Zone: 1900 (Maryland Stateplane)

Units : meters

Zunits : meters

Datum : North American 1983

Spheroid : GRS80

Positional Accuracy:

Horizontal:

The DEM production goal is an absolute horizontal accuracy (feature to datum) of 130 m, circular error at 90-percent probability.

Vertical:

Absolute vertical accuracy (feature to mean sea level) is +/- 30 meters linear error at 90 percent probability.

The relative horizontal and vertical accuracy (feature to feature on the surface of the elevation model), although not specified, will in many cases conform to the actual hypsographic features with higher integrity than indicated by the absolute accuracy.

Attribute Accuracy:

Elevations, which are stored as cell attributes, have an accuracy of +/- 30 meters at 90% probability.

Logical Consistency:

Connectedness and adjacency are implicit in the raster DEMs.

Completeness:

Elevation at 3 arc-second by 3 arc-second spacing is completely represented through the extent of the 1 x 1 degree DEM.

Fitness for Use Statement:

The DEMs are suitable for mapping applications at map scales of 1:250,000 or smaller. Caution should be exercised especially at map scales larger than 1:24,000, the largest map scales of source maps for the DEMs.

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Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) Data

EarthSat obtained USGS Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) spatial data at no cost through the USGS node of the National Spatial Data Infrastructure. The wetlands information were extracted for use on the Maryland Statewide Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features and Maryland Statewide Farmland with Significant Non-Agricultural Features with Projected Development Pressure on Farmland maps.

Lineage:

The USGS Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) databases were digitized from landuse and landcover maps derived from manually interpreted NASA NHAP airphotos and field surveys from the late 1970s and early 1980s. LULC is compiled from 1:250,000 scale and 1:100,000 scale sources.

The ArcInfo format LULC database retrieved for this concept of operations document was projected in the following parameters :

Projection: Albers

Units: Meters

Spheroid: Clarke 1866

Parameters:

1st standard parallel : 29 30 0.000

2nd standard parallel : 45 30 0.000

central meridian: -96 0 0.000

latitude of projection's origin: 23 0 0.000

false easting (meters): 0.00000

false northing (meters): 0.00000

The coverage was projected to the following parameters for use in this concept of operations Document :

Projection : stateplane

FIPS Zone: 1900 (Maryland Stateplane)

Units : meters

Zunits : meters

Datum : North American 1983

Spheroid : GRS80

Positional Accuracy:

The minimum mapping unit for LULC is 10 acres or 4 hectares for built-up structures and landcover. Non-urban, non-built up natural features have a minimum mapping unit of 40 acres (16 hectares). Horizontal accuracy is estimated to be <32 meters circular.

Attribute Accuracy:

Landcover accuracy is estimated to be 80% or better accuracy.

Logical Consistency:

Errors in connectedness and adjacency are explicit in the database topological model.

Completeness:

All features at 1:250,000 scale with minimum mapping units of 10 acres for built-up structures and 40 acres for natural features are included.

Fitness for Use Statement:

In EarthSat's opinion, the LULC database is of suitable data quality for use at map scales of 1:250,000 or smaller. Cautions include consideration for the temporal distance between the compilation date of the information and the present. In addition, use at scales below 1:100,000 are not recommended in consideration of the source map scales.

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US Department of Agriculture, Soil Conservation Service, National Soil Survey Center

State Soil Geographic (STATSGO) Data Base

EarthSat obtained the STATSGO Data Base at no cost from the internet site of the Natural Resources Conservation Service of the US Department of Agriculture.

Lineage :

The State Soil Geographic (STATSGO) Database is a national geographic information database of chemical and physical soil properties organized into soil map units. Soil map units are linked to attributes in the Map Unit Interpretations Record (MUIR) relational data base which gives the proportionate extent of the component soils and their properties. A broad range of attributes (for example, flooding and moisture information, irrigation, depth to bedrock, soil texture class, soil taxonomic classification, crop yield potential across multiple crop types) are recorded through statistical measurement processing.

STATSGO is generalized from the US National Soil Survey Geographic SSURGO database, whose sources range from 1:12,000 to 1:63,000, and whose typical scales are 1:15,840, 1:20,000, or 1:24,000. SSURGO maps were produced based on field survey work and airphoto interpretation. Where SSURGO maps were unavailable for generalization into STATSGO, soil survey maps, county general soil maps, state general soil maps, state major land resource area (MLRA) maps and Landsat images were interpreted. Factors such as geology, topography, vegetation, and climate are also factored in interpreting the soil unit properties.

STATSGO was designed for regional resource planning, management and monitoring. STATSGO was compiled and published in 1994. The currentness of data for each of the source 1:250,000 scale maps is not recorded and ranges from 1975 to 1994.

STASTGO was obtained from the USDA as an ArcInfo coverage in the following projection parameters:

Projection : Albers equal area

Units : Meters

Datum : North American Datum 1927

Spheroid : Clarke 1866

Parameters :

1st standard parallel : 29 30 00

2nd standard parallel : 45 40 00

central meridian : -96 00 00

latitude of origin : 23 00 00

false easting : 0.00

false northing : 0.00

The STATSGO data was projected into the following parameters for use in this document :

Projection : stateplane

FIPS Zone: 1900 (Maryland Stateplane)

Units : meters

Zunits : meters

Datum : North American 1983

Spheroid : GRS80

Positional Accuracy:

1:250,000 scale intended use. The minimum mapping unit for STATSGO is 1,544 acres, or 625 hectares (1 square cm on a 1:250,000 scale map). Positional accuracy is estimated to be no less than 762 meters circular. The difference in positional accuracy between the map unit boundaries in the field and their digitized map locations is not known.

Attribute Accuracy :

Attribute Accuracy varies across the different source map sheets. The attribute accuracy for the soil data elements is also affected by differing statistical methods used to interpret soil yield. Attribute accuracy is not recorded for each soil unit in the STATSGO database.

Logical Consistency :

Errors in connectedness and adjacency are explicit in the database topological model.

Completeness :

All soil unit features at a minimum mapping unit of 1,544 acres and a map scale of 1:250,000 are included.

Fitness for Use Statement :

In EarthSat's opinion, the STATSGO database is fit for application at map scales of 1:250,000 or smaller. It should be emphasized that significant changes in agricultural practices have occurred between the time of the original soil unit surveys were taken and the present. Nevertheless, this factor is not sufficient to denigrate the value of the database in measuring potential agricultural yield. STATSGO measures yield potential based on soil characteristics which evolve at long term geological time scales. Changing agricultural practices are not likely to alter the underlying soil-based yield. Changing practices may alter the productivity of soil without altering the soil's basic properties.

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United States Environmental Protection Agency

Hydrography Features for the Chesapeake Bay (1992 TIGER/LINE)

The Environmental Protection Agency through the Chesapeake Bay Program provided Chesapeake Bay shoreline information that was used in this concept of operations to determine the location of farmlands within 1,000 feet of Chesapeake Bay waters. The database was acquired in ArcInfo format at no cost from the EPA Chesapeake Bay Program Internet site. The ArcInfo arc database contains the shoreline features of the Chesapeake Bay.

Lineage :

The Chesapeake shorelines hydrography database was derived from US Census 1992 TIGER/LINE files. The 1992 TIGER/Line files are compiled from information at a number of map scales from a broad array of sources ranging from field surveys to airphotos. The primary sources were the US Geological Survey's (USGS) 1:100,000 scale Digital Line Graph, USGS 1:24,000 scale map quadrangles, and the Census Bureau's GBF/DIME files updated to 1987. Updates also occurred in 1990 following the decennial census. Locally-provided updates to the TIGER/Line files were also incorporated.

The original shoreline database coverage was provided to EarthSat in the following projection parameters:

Projection : Geographic

Units : decimal degrees

Datum : North American Datum, 1927

Spheroid : Clarke 1866

Additional Parameters : None

EarthSat projected the coverage into the following projection parameters for use in the project:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy:

The positional accuracy of the database files varies across political jurisdictions, and is not recorded by Census or the EPA. TIGER/Line is intended to show only relative positions of its elements. The positional accuracy of the lineage DLG files used in producing TIGER/Line is approximately <51 meters circular, although in some locations positional accuracy may be degraded.

Attribute Accuracy:

Neither the census nor the EPA conducted formal attribute accuracy testing on TIGER/Line files. Informal testing by census indicated an attribute error of less than 2%.

Logical Consistency:

The adjacency and connectedness of features represented are stored explicitly in the topological models of the database. Any errors are explicit in the file.

Completeness:

TIGER/Line data may be considered a complete inclusion of the features they are intended to represent at a scale of 1:100,000 in 1992.

Fitness for Use Statement:

In EarthSat's opinion, the shoreline database is of reasonable data quality to be used at map scales of 1:100,000 or smaller. Caution should be used at map scales of 1:50,000 or larger, given the positional accuracy limitations.

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University of Maryland at Baltimore County and the Baltimore-Washington Regional Collaboratory

Baltimore-Washington Landcover, 1966 and 1991

EarthSat obtained multi-temporal landcover for the Baltimore-Washington region at no cost through the University of Maryland at Baltimore County and the Baltimore-Washington Regional Collaboratory internet site. Urbanized, or built-up landcover for 1991 and 1966 databases were used in analysis of contemporary landcover change patterns in the Baltimore-Washington region in this concept of operations document.

Lineage :

The USGS and the University of Maryland Baltimore County derived 1991 built-up areas from interpreted Landsat TM multispectral image data. The data were converted to ArcInfo polygon coverages. 1966 Built-up areas were derived from compiled paper map sets ranging in scales from 1:24,000 to 1:100,000. Both datasets were produced with the intent of measuring built-up landcover consistently for the purpose of change detection. Built-up landcover is defined as locations with spectral signatures associated with concrete, asphalt, buildings, roads, residential neighborhoods, and commercial buildings.

The ArcInfo coverages were originally projected in the following parameters :

Projection : Universal Transverse Mercator

UTM Zone Number : 18

Units : Meters

Spheroid : Clarke 1866

Parameters :

Scale Factor at Central Meridian : 0.9996

Longitude of Central Meridian : 96.0W

Latitude of Projection Origin : 23.0 N

False Easting : 0.0

False Northing : 0.0

The coverages were projected to the projection parameters common to the Concept of Operations:

Projection: Maryland Stateplane

FIPSZONE number: 1900 (Maryland)

Map Units: meters

Datum: North American 1983

Spheroid: GRS 1980

Positional Accuracy :

The smallest minimum mapping unit for the 1991 urban layers is approximately 900 square meters or 0.22 acres. Positional accuracy for the urban databases was not measured. Positional accuracy for the 1966 urban layers is estimated to be between a minimum of 1.8 meters and 7.6 meters circular, depending on the source scale of the maps.

Attribute Accuracy :

The attribute accuracy of the 1991 urban database is estimated to be 80% or better, and is determined by the resolution of the Landsat TM data. Attribute accuracy for the 1966 urban layer is not measured.

Logical Consistency :

Feature adjacency and connectedness, along with inconsistency errors are explicit in the database vector structure.

Completeness:

All features present on the source 1966 maps were digitized. The 1991 urban layer is estimated to capture no less than 80% of urban features.

Fitness for Use Statement :

In EarthSat's opinion, the urban databases are fit for use in the change analysis application in this concept of operations document. Urban landcover was derived for both time periods for the purpose of change detection.

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Environmental Systems Research Institute (Esri)

Placenames (1:2,000,000)

The Esri 1:2,000,000 ArcUSA database placenames were used as basemap reference material on the Maryland statewide map series. The national database of placenames are considered a complete representation of significant places in Maryland.

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Delaware Department of Agriculture and Thompson Mapping (DEGIS)

Delaware Geographic Information System (DEGIS) Growth and Development System Model

EarthSat purchased at low cost (<$80) the Delaware Geographic Information System (DEGIS) Growth and Development System Model CDROM. The datasets, in CAD interchange format contain spatial information for Delaware agricultural lands suitability, environmental features, water resource protection areas, wastewater service areas, historic districts, roads, and zoning in addition to other spatial data themes. The data set was purchased from Thompson Mapping Systems Incorporated, of Dover, Delaware.

Lineage :

CAD files were digitized from compiled 1:24,000 scale basemaps from Delaware Department of Transportation centerline files. Files were also compiled from hand-drawn enlarged parcel maps at 1:24,000 scale, and USGS 7.5' Topographic Quad Sheets. The currentness dates for data range from 1992 to September 1996. The majority of data layers were captured in 1995.

Positional Accuracy :

Varies by source map. Positional accuracy for agricultural suitability, environmental features, roads, historic districts, water resource protection areas, wastewater service areas, and zoning are +/- 66.6 feet relative to source material.

Logical Consistency :

The CAD data structure does not record adjacency and connectedness. Logical consistency can not be assured through automated means under the data model.

Completeness :

All features on the source maps were digitized.

Fitness for Use Statement :

In EarthSat's opinion, the DEGIS data set is of sufficient data quality for use at map scales of 1:65,000 or smaller.

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Delaware Department of Health and Social Sciences

Delaware Population Consortium Delaware Population Projections

EarthSat obtained at no cost the Delaware Population Consortium Delaware Population Projections Report from the Health Statistics Center of the Bureau of the Delaware Health Planning and Resources Management. Since the information is provided as attribute data only, reporting on positional accuracy and logical consistency is not made. The data are provided in electronic spreadsheet format. The tables provide population forecast information from the 1990s to 2020.

Lineage:

The Delaware Population Consortium was formed in 1975 to generate a common set of reliable population projections. The Consortium's goals include the production of a single set of projections, using a single methodology for a consistent set of geographic areas over a long time period. Its report contains the following forecasts for Delaware :

Population Projections 1990s to 2020 for Delaware and Each County, along with major cities; Population Pyramids for the same enumeration and time; experimental projections for population for Census County Subdivisions; experimental projections for households for Census County Subdivisions; experimental population projections for Census Tracts.

Attribute Accuracy:

Attributes may be considered reliable and consistent, the result of a single reviewed and updated methodology.

Completeness :

The data covers the entire state of Delaware and its counties. Forecast data at the Census Tract and County Subdivision levels are considered "experimental."

Fitness for Use Statement :

The forecast data are especially fit for use in development pressure modeling statewide since a single consistent methodology, to be used over long time periods drives the forecasts. Projections at the Census County Subdivision and tract levels, however, are considered experimental and have not been formally approved by the Delaware Population Consortium.

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End Notes

1. Forecasts by the National Center for Resource Innovations, Rosslyn, Virginia. Published in Frankel, Glenn and Fehr, Stephen C., 'As the Economy Grows, the Trees Fall,' The Washington Post, March 23, 1997, A-1, A-20-21. (go back)

2. Agriculture Easements and Preservation districts in ArcInfo polygon coverage FR_AGS. Maryland Environmental Trusts in FR_MET. TDRs and PDRs in FR_TDRPDR. Private protected lands in FR_PRV. (go back)

3. Federal lands are stored in ArcInfo polygon coverage FR_FED. Maryland DNR properties are stored in ArcInfo polygon coverage FR_DNRL. County parks are stored in FR_COP. (go back)

4. Major arterials and county boundaries stored as FREDRD in ArcInfo arc coverage. Streams stored as FR_W arc coverage. Landmark placenames stored as FR_LM and places placenames stored as FR_PL. (go_back)

5. Polygons larger than 6,250,000 square meters appear on the map as a polygon with an area of 1 square centimeter or larger at a scale of 1:250,000. One square centimeter on the Maryland map page was the selected generalization threshold for protection polygons. All protection polygons smaller than 6,250,000 square meters are generalized to a centroid dot. All Maryland state and county protected lands appear as dots rather than polygons, since none has an area greater than 6,250,000 square meters. In the category of protection, only private protected lands have polygons with an area larger than 6,250,000 square meters. (go back)

6. Farmlands are defined in this concept of operations document as any area that is zoned for agriculture or has agriculture landuse. Therefore, farmlands could be zoned for agriculture but exhibit nonfarming landuse, such as forestry. Or, conversely, farmlands also include agriculture landuse that is not zoned for agriculture. A revised definition will take effect where lands must be zoned for agriculture, regardless of landuse, to be considered farmland. (go back)

7. Data for the independent City of Baltimore was not provided. The City of Baltimore is not included in analyses in this concept of operations document. (go back)

8. Forecast household increase per TAZ/ED provided by the Maryland Office of Planning. Assumptions and methods for forecasting household increase vary for each county in the state. (go back)

9. Baltimore-Washington landcover and major arterials 1966 and 1982 provided by the University of Maryland at Baltimore County Department of Geography and the Baltimore-Washington Regional Collaboratory. (go back)

10. The end-user of any data product associated with this concept of operations assumes full responsibility and liability for use of the data in their GIS or other mapping application. Although every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of information, errors and conditions originating from physical sources used to develop the databases may be reflected in the data supplied. EarthSat assumes no responsibility or liability for application or use, or misapplication or misuse by end users of the spatial data discussed in this document. Users of any data products must be aware of data conditions and bear the responsibility for the appropriate use of the information with respect to errors, original map scale, colleciton methodology, currency of data, and other conditions specific to certain data. (go back)

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References

Delaware Department of Agriculture, Delaware Agricultural Statistics Service, United States Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Delaware Agricultural Statistics Summary for 1995, Dover, MD, 1995.

Heimlich, Ralph E., ed., Land Use Transition in Urbanizing Areas Research and Information Needs, The Farm Foundation in cooperation with Economic Research Service U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, 1989.

Heimlich, Ralph E, Vesterby, Marlow, Krupa, Kenneth S., Urbanizing Farmland : Dynamics of Land Use Change in Fast Growth Counties, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, August 1991.

Lettre, Michel A., Ash, Jesse, Nace, Linda, Stranovsky, Michael J., Land Use and Development Patterns in Maryland, 1993, An Analysis Based on Assessments and Taxation Parcel Data, Maryland Office of Planning Publication 94-08, Baltimore, Maryland July 1994.

Maryland Department of Agriculture, Maryland Agricultural Statistics Service, United States Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Maryland Agricultural Statistics Summary for 1995, Annapolis, MD, 1995.

The Montgomery County Agricultural Advisory Committee (AAC) and Dr. Robert Scarfo, Future of Agriculture Study for Montgomery County, MD, Montgomery County Office of Economic Development, Rockville, MD, January 1995

US Bureau of the Census, 1992 Census of Agriculture Volume 2 Subject Series Part 1 Agricultural Atlas of the United States, United States Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, September 1995.

Vesterby, Marlow Land Use Change in Fast-Growth Counties: Analysis of Study Methods, Resources and Technology Division, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, June, 1988.

Vesterby, Marlow, Heimlich, Ralph E., Krupa, Kenneth S., Urbanization of Rural Land in the United States, Resources and Technology Division, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, March 1994.



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Author Information

Jeffrey B. Miller

Earth Satellite Corporation

6011 Executive Boulevard, Suite 400

Rockville, MD 20852-3804

TEL : (301) 231-0660

FAX : (301) 231-5020

http://www.earthsat.com

jmiller@earthsat.com

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