Captain (USAF) Allen C. Rabayda

Air Force Combat Climatology Center (AFCCC) Applications of ArcView GIS and ArcView Spatial Analyst

Air Force Combat Climatology Center (AFCCC) Applications of ArcView GIS and ArcView Spatial Analyst

This paper describes AFCCC's use of ArcView GIS and ArcView Spatial Analyst in managing, maintaining quality controls, and visualizing hundreds of thousands of climatological records. We are able to filter, audit, and perform quality checks on weather data by linking several ArcView GIS tables and views simultaneously. By auditing atmospheric measurements made from the surface to altitudes above 60,000 feet, we identify geographic areas or observation sites with unacceptable or erroneous weather data. Lastly, we use ArcView GIS and ArcView Spatial Analyst to display multiple weather data elements, build homogeneous data groups, and provide summary statistics of those groups.


TABLE OF CONTENTS

Topic
Section

Introduction

1

Data Management

2

Data Quality Control

3

Data Analysis

4

Summary

5

Acknowlegements

..

Author Information

..

1. Introduction

The Air Force Combat Climatology Center (AFCCC) is a US Air Force, named organization assigned to the Air Force's Weather Agency. After collecting and storing worldwide environmental observations in its climatic database, AFCCC develops and produces special weather-impact information used in planning and executing worldwide military operations of the Air Force, NAVY, Marine Corps, unified commands, and allied nations. AFCCC also provides weather information to support engineering design and employment of weapon systems, supports weather-sensitive, multibillion-dollar national programs controlled by the Secretary of the Air Force and is the DoD lead for air and space weather modeling and simulation.

In order to perform these functions, AFCCC uses a database of 1.3 terrabytes. This database contains nine gridded data sets at varying resolutions (i.e. 2 1/2 degrees by 2 1/2 degrees) with eight complimentary point data sets having over 6000 specific observations sites and information from the surface to 60,000 feet above the earth. The data is stored in a relational database on an open architecture platform. Typical working extracts from the database are 300,000 to 5 million records in length with 5 to 15 separate variables or a file size of 50 to 150 Mbytes.

To process these data for management, analysis, or quality control several software applications are used. ARCVIEW GIS and Spatial Analyst are used as tools to view and manipulate both gridded and point data. Both tools enable the user to dynamically link multiple tables of raw and post-processed data in order to audit and analyze particular observation sites, geographic/political regions, or ad-hoc bounded areas.

2. Data Management

Prior to investigating historical weather records from a site, group of sites, or region, the data's attributes, record counts, period of record, and appropriateness must be audited. Today this process takes about 15 minutes using ARCVIEW attribute tables and views whereas the same process took weeks to accomplish without the visualization ARCVIEW offers. Once the data is audited, it can then be extracted and exported to other software or reused as another ARCVIEW data set.

To perform a complete data audit, an analyst will first search a metadata file for all the stations within his area of interest or stations which meet a certain atmospheric threshold. For example, a search may be done on all available reporting stations in Southwest Asia or sites throughout the world which report daily precipitation totals, since some sites may not normally report precipitation. Or a combination of the reporting stations in Southwest Asia which have precipitation data may be searched. In this case, the search is done by displaying and selecting the sites within Southwest Asia's political boundaries then querying the attributes of these sites to highlight locations with precipitation data. Once sites in Southwest Asia with precipitation are highlighted, an analyst may need to continue to audit the data to ensure he has enough records for a particular site or region. For instance, if he needed to compute the wettest months for Southwest Asia, he would need a large sample size of monthly precipitation records so the statistics would accurately represent the occurrences of precipitation over the years. For this type of audit, the analyst will either query or page through the attribute table's record counts and the period of record.

Weather Metadata for Auditing

Figure 1: Metadata display for surface weather observations in Southeast Asia.

Once the audited sites are selected, they can then be exported as text delimited files to be reused by ARCVIEW for combing with other data files or used by additional statistical software.

3. Data Quality Control

Careful site selection performed during Data Management does not ensure quality data. To ensure the selected records comprise a quality data set, each variable must be filtered for gross errors, missing values, or physically unrepresentative values. Frequently, the archived data sets are stored with extra or missing digits, miscoded values or otherwise altered values during the archival process. Usually, a statistical summary or graph of a variable can identify those records with gross errors of one magnitude or more. To identify missing values or those values physically unsound, , a simple query can highlight those observations for easy deletion. For example, surface temperature values which are inconsistent temporally for a specific site or outside our the normal range, -90 C to 130 C, can be flagged in an attribute table then displayed. After the data has been checked, it is ready for additional software post-processing or transmittal to a customer.

Temperature Quality Control Assessment

Figure 2: Display with linked observation site and surface data tables. Surface data table contains flags for 'bad' data.

4. Data Analysis

A large part of climatological data analysis relies on accurate assessment of environmental trends and tendencies. Visualization of the data is paramount throughout this assessment. Several projects were typical of this visualization.

A project requiring the identification of areas prone to lightning strikes around an Army base in central Georgia, Fort McClellan, used ARCVIEW and Spatial Analyst to grid over 500,000 lightning point data observations then summarize their frequency of occurrence. This enabled the analyst to see "pockets" of areas prone to strikes during the month of August.

Lightning Strikes Near Fort McClellan

Figure 3: Density (frequency per square mile) of Lightning Stroke Data for August 1997 near Fort McClellan, GA.

Similarly, a project collected, displayed, and contoured point precipitation data over Eastern Russia. The analyst was quickly able to identify the dry continental climate regions over the interior of central Russia. These can be easily identified by the light blue shading. It was particularly interesting to note the area within this region, denoted by hash marks, receiving slightly more precipitation for the month of March. By performing cursory analysis like this, the analyst was able to identify then further interrogate the data to explain this embedded, slightly wetter area.

Precipitation Over SE Russia

Figure 4: Mean March precipitation amounts for Northern Asia. Red hashed region shows precipitation values over 4 inches, dotted region 3 - 4 inches, light green 2 - 3 inches, light blue 1 - 2 inches, and dark blue less than 1 inch.

Another type of data visualization uses built-in symbology to display multiple attributes of observation sites. Wind data is normally summarized by combining direction and speed, wind barbs or wind vectors with speed values. This is done to easily identify general wind flows and their associated speeds. Wind data was summarized over the Persian Gulf to quickly get an idea of regional wind speeds and directions. This picture showed a general northerly surface flow over the central and western sections of the peninsula and an offshore flow along the southern coast.

Persian Gulf Winds

Figure 5: April prevailing wind directions and mean speeds over Persian Gulf.

Lastly, a project involving a comparison of gridded data sets used Spatial Analyst to quickly subtract the wind speeds and directional differences at each grid point to estimate model differences. This study involved comparing temperature and wind values at 1000 mb of an old numerical weather prediction model, HIRAS, with a newer numerical analysis technique, REANAL. The goal was to identify geographic areas, where the two models varied the greatest. To do this, first each parameter for both models were plotted independently. They were then subtracted from each other to produce a third set of graphs. Two of the parameters, wind speed and wind direction, differences are shown below as an example. From this example, it is easy to see HIRAS has a low wind speed bias with directional differences varying nearly 180 degrees in South America-an area where the models' differences seem most pronounced.

HIRAS and Reannalysis Comparisons

Figure 6: Difference in 1000 mb wind speeds and directions for output produced by the HIRAS and Reanalysis Models.

5. SUMMARY

Environmental data is geographic in nature which makes Esri applications ideal to interrogate and exploit this data. It is used for initial assessment of variables, post-processed verification and validation of models, and as an intermediate gage for regional identification of weather phenomenon, climatic regions, or trends. ARCVIEW and Spatial Analyst provide two invaluable tools for daily projects, data quality control and management.

Acknowledgements

I wish to acknowledge Mr Michael Squires and Capt Matthew Doggett, AFCCC/CCX, for their help in preparing the graphs and products used in this paper.

Author Information

Author: Captain (USAF) Allen C. Rabayda

Title and Office: DoD Modeling and Simulation Executive Agent for Air and Space, Air Force Combat Climatology Center, Air Force Weather Agency

Address: 151 Patton Avenue, Rm 120, Asheville, NC 28715

Phone, FAX, email: (704)-271-4403, Phone; (704)-271-4334, FAX; rabaydaa@afccc.af.mil