ABSTRACT
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Indexed by Title
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 A New Approach to Spatial-Temporal Criminal Event Prediction
Track:  Law Enforcement and Criminal Justice
Author:   Donald Edward Brown
Hua Liu
A new model for predicting the probability of occurrence of spatial-temporal criminal events is described based on the theory of point patterns. The model allows for the incorporation of observed criminal event characteristics or features into space-time prediction. A search technique identifies those features of the crimes that are most useful in predicting future events. Based on the presence of these features in a given area, a GIS is used to display the probability surfaces showing likely areas for future criminal events.

Donald Edward Brown
University of Virginia
Thornton Hall
University of Virginia
Charlottesville, VA22903

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