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Abstract


Planning Healthy Communities: GIS Applications to Predict Violent Behavior
Track: Law Enforcement and Criminal Justice
Author(s): Katrina Baum, Frank Hafner

Crime and how well properties are maintained are often leading indicators of the health of a community. The "broken windows" theory suggests that poorly maintained properties result in increased criminal activity. Data for criminal activity and property violations in the City of San Diego were analyzed using GIS tools to determine if property violations predict criminal activity. This paper describes the results of this analysis and how they can be used to deploy resources. The paper also discusses broader public safety implications and how integrating data from other public agencies might improve the usefulness of the predictive GIS models.

Katrina Baum
University of Pennsylvania
4200 Pine Street, 3rd Floor
Philadelphia, PA 19104-4090
USA

Phone: 215-898-1456
Fax: 215-573-2791
E-mail: kbaum@ssw.upenn.edu