AbstractA Spatial Model for Predicting Animal Responses to Ecological Changes Track: Ecology, Archaeology, and Conservation Author(s): Haydee Miranda Hampton, Leslie Ries, Thomas D. Sisk As terrestrial landscapes become increasingly fragmented by human activities, a predictive approach for estimating animal abundance that accounts for spatial heterogeneity is needed to guide habitat management and conservation. Our spatial modeling approach, developed in ArcView GIS using Avenue, incorporates empirical data on animals' responses to habitat edges and predicts abundances under various land management scenarios. Inputs to the model include habitat maps and animal density response functions. The latter describes animal density along a habitat gradient between adjacent habitat types, allowing us to generate predicted animal abundance maps. Haydee Miranda Hampton Northern Arizona University NAU Box 5694 Flagstaff, AZ 86011-5694 USA Phone: 520-523-0872 Fax: 520-523-7423 E-mail: haydee.hampton@nau.edu |